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Dollars Resurgence Rattles Currency Markets

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Stock markets were erratic on Thursday with most major arenas violently swinging between losses and gains as the messy combination of depressed oil prices, a resurgent Dollar and rising ECB stimulus hopes kept investors on edge.

Asian stocks drifted lower during early trading on Friday pressured by falling oil prices which soured investor risk sentiment. Although European stocks displayed some resilience after European Central Bank President Draghi signalled that December could be the meeting to take action, Asia’s bearish domino could enforce downside pressures in Europe.

U.S stocks were punished by weak earnings reports on Thursday with further losses expected as a strengthening Dollar and rising rate hike speculations repel investors from riskier assets.

Draghi dishes out the volatility
Euro/Dollar was chaotic on Thursday with prices crashing to four-month lows at 1.0915 after the ECB swiftly extinguished the persistent taper talk rumours.

Although interest rates and the current 80 billion bond buying were left unchanged, markets were injected with volatility after Draghi stated that there were no discussions of extending the current Quantitative easing program beyond March 2017. With Draghi signalling that December will be key to take action, this almost mirrors the views of the Fed and reinforces the theme of central bank caution. Euro sensitivity may intensify in the coming weeks as investors re-evaluate the steps taken by the ECB in pending December meeting.

The EURUSD is under extreme pressure on the daily timeframe and could be poised for steeper declines

Dollar bulls return
The Greenback regained its dominance on Thursday with the Dollar Index lurching above 98.50 after Europe’s central bank rekindled expectations over further monetary stimulus in the future.
Dollars upsurge was complimented by hawkish comments from Fed President William Dudley saying that the “Fed would move this year if the economy remains on track” which heightened optimism over a US interest rate increase in December.
Sentiment is firmly bullish towards the Dollar with further inclines expected as speculators boost bets over the Fed breaking the trend of central bank caution this year.
The Dollar index is heavily bullish on the daily timeframe as there have been consistently higher highs and higher lows. A weekly close above 98.50 could encourage a further incline towards 99.50.

Currency spotlight – Sterling
Sterling was left vulnerable on Thursday after comments from Donald Tusk on how EU leaders will not engage in talks on Britain’s divorce from the single trading bloc at Theresa May’s first summit in Brussels simply revived hard Brexit fears.
Additional remarks from French President Francois Hollande on how the UK should expect tough negotiations after the article 50 is triggered sparked further weakness in the currency.
It is becoming clear that Sterling has been enveloped by political uncertainty with hard Brexit jitters ensuring prices remain depressed.
Although UK data continues to point to some economic stability, Sterling may be destined for further declines as uncertainty entices bearsto install repeated rounds of selling.


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E-Financial

Banks Lose N10Bn to Cyber Fraud in 2023’

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Stakeholders in the banking and financial ecosystem, yesterday, decried the surge in cyber fraud as Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) lost N10 billion in the second quarter of 2023, representing almost 300 per cent year-on-year compared to the previous year.

Banks Lose N10Bn to Cyber Fraud in 2023’

At a Mastercard forum convened to tackle fraud and cybersecurity threats in the financial sector, Kari Tukur, vice president, Customer Solutions Centre, East and West Africa at Mastercard, said despite the massive awareness and innovations aimed at combating cybersecurity, the amount lost last year by DBMs was “staggering”.

She said, “With Nigeria’s rapidly growing economic expansion, we are starting to see an increase in the adoption of digital financial services, and the financial landscape is also evolving at an astronomical speed.

“What was staggering for me was in spite of the huge investment around innovation, funding in the cyber space, DBMs lost almost N10bn in Q2 last year, and that was almost 300 per cent growth year-on-year when compared to the previous year.”

She noted that there was the need for collaboration among stakeholders “to combat this rising sophistication of cyber security threat.”

Tukur further stated that Mastercard was deeply committed to cyber security and fraud prevention within the payment industry, disclosing that the company invested $250m “to assist small businesses in addressing their cyber security needs.”

She disclosed that Mastercard payment portals incorporated multiple layers of security such as tokenisation technology, encryption and biometrical to stay ahead of cyber attackers.

She added that, “The sector continues to struggle with the aforementioned challenges, necessitating vigilance, proactive action and comprehensive security strategy, and Mastercard remains committed to providing safe, secure and seamless payment services and experiences for our partners and customers in Nigeria and beyond.”

Celestina Appeal, chairman, Committee of e-Business Industry Heads (CeBIH), stated that the total loss to the banking industry in the last couple of years totalled hundreds of billions of naira while Nigeria’s Consumer Awareness and Financial Enlightenment Initiative had projected a $6trn loss by 2030 to cybercrime within and outside Nigeria.

Represented by Mr Temitope Onibaniyi, secretary of the committee, she stated that the committee was ever-willing to collaborate with industry stakeholders to fight against the perpetrators who “constantly rob banks and other stakeholders in the payments industry of their hard-earned money.”

She said the need for collaboration could not be overemphasised as no individual organisation was immune to cyber security attacks.

 

 


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Tinubu Rejigs SEC Board, Makes New Appointments

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President Bola Tinubu has approved the appointment of some Nigerian professionals to the Board of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Tinubu Rejigs SEC Board, Makes New Appointments

This is contained in a statement issued by Ajuri Ngelale, special adviser to the President on Media and Publicity.

Tinubu appointed Mr. Mairiga Aliyu Katuka  as the Chairman of the board of SEC, while Mr. Emomotimi Agama has been appointed as the  Director-General of the board.

The president also appointed Frana Chukwuogor  as Executive Commissioner (Legal and Enforcement) of the board.

Tinubu further appointed Mr. Bola Ajomale as the Executive Commissioner (Operations) of the board, while Mrs. Samiya Hassan Usman is the Executive Commissioner (Corporate Services) of the board.

Also appointed into the board are Mr. Lekan Belo as Non-Executive Commissioner and Mr. Kasimu Garba Kurfi as Non-Executive Commissioner.

According to Ngelale, the president anticipated that “all members of the Board of this critical commission will bring to bear their wealth of experience and competence in advancing the commission’s core mandate of developing and regulating a capital market that is dynamic, fair, transparent, and efficient, to bolster investor confidence and contribute immeasurably to the nation’s economic development.”


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Ecobank Repays $500m Eurobond

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Ecobank has announced the successful repayment of its $500 million five-year Eurobond issued in 2019. According to a statement filed on the Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX), the Eurobond garnered considerable interest from a diverse range of global investors, including long-term development partners such as FMO and Proparco, who served as anchor investors.

Commenting on this achievement, Ecobank Group Financial Officer, Ayo Adepoju, said: “The bond was listed on the main market of the London Stock Exchange with a coupon rate of 9.5 per cent. The principal and interest repayment, totalling $524 million, was distributed to bondholders through the transaction agent on the bond maturity date of April 18, 2024.

“This inaugural bond we are retiring today was critical in introducing our firm to a wider array of global investors and contributed to the increased visibility of our brand in the capital markets.”

Against the backdrop of challenges posed by the global operating environment, including disruptions in the world supply chain and financial markets, Adepoju highlighted the Group’s resilience. He cited strong liquidity, a robust balance sheet, and a solid leadership team as key factors enabling Ecobank’s success.

He added that the successful repayment of the Eurobond underscores Ecobank’s commitment to financial stability and investor confidence, positioning the firm for continued growth and success in the global market.

 


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