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FXTM Comment: Sterling Pressured After Article 50 Date Confirmed

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FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga comments on the recent reports confirming that Theresa May will be triggering Article 50 on the 29th of March.

Dollar weakness has encouraged bullish investors to elevate the Sterling/Dollar to a fresh three-week high at 1.2436 during Monday’s trading session.

Although the emergence of a lone BoE hawk last week coupled with concerns about rising inflation has provided Sterling a boost, investors should be under no illusion that this has changed the bearish sentiment.

With recent reports confirming that Theresa May will be triggering Article 50 on the 29th of March already sparking jitters, Sterling may be in-store for some serious punishment this week.

It is becoming clear that the Brexit developments are likely to dictate where Sterling trades in the medium to longer term with uncertainty effectively limiting any extreme upside gains. From a technical standpoint, Sterling bears may re-enter the scene back below 1.2300.

Risk Sentiment Dented By Protectionist Fears
Stock markets were under noticeable pressure during Monday’s trading session with risk appetite absent after the G20 decided to drop a pledge to avoid trade protectionism. Asian shares concluded mostly mixed amid the sluggish trading mood while risk aversion exposed European equities to downside losses.

Although Wall Street limped into gains last week, further upside may be limited this evening as the renewed protectionism concerns keep investors on edge.

With major finance leaders from the largest economies in the world failing to persuade the US to renew an anti-protectionism pledge, the growing threat of a potential global trade war may create serious headwinds for this phenomenal stock market rally.

Dollar Index levitates above 100.00
The lingering impacts of last week’s “dovish hike” can still be seen on the Greenback which remains on the back foot as of writing. Although sellers have exploited the disappointment from the Fed’s less than hawkish stance to attack the Dollar Index repeatedly, the downside may be limited as sentiment improves towards the U.S economy.

Investors may pay extra attention to the string of speeches from Fed officials this week which could offer further clarity on interest rate hike timings this year.

A hawkish surprise could install Dollar bullish investors with enough inspiration to send prices back towards 101.00.

From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index remains heavily pressured on the daily charts. The 100.00 psychological support remains a key level which could protect the bulls or assist the bears.

Commodity spotlight – WTI Oil
WTI Crude found itself vulnerable to heavy losses on Monday with prices sinking towards $48 as the rising drilling activity in the U.S reinforced the oversupply fears. Sentiment remains bearish towards oil and the fading optimism over the effectiveness of OPEC’s supply cut deal could encourage sellers to attack prices further.

Although OPEC’s inability to balance the oil markets in the first half of 2017 has sparked speculations of the organization extending its six-month contract, the rise of U.S shale and lingering concerns of some members not fully following the compliance in cutting production could create headwinds.

From a technical standpoint, WTI Crude is heavily pressured on the daily charts and a break below $48 could open a path lower towards $47.


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Former SEC Leadership Failed to Regulate, Develop Capital Market- ASCSN

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Senior Staff Union under the aegis of Association of Senior Civil Servants of Nigeria (ASCSN) of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has accused the past administration of the Commission led by Dr. Lamido Yuguda of failing in its mandate of effectively regulating and developing the capital market, which is an intricate part of the nation’s economy.

Former SEC Leadership Failed to Regulate, Develop Capital Market- ASCSN

ASCSN also urged the federal government to exempt workers of the commission from 50 percent operating surplus remittance

Abba Mamman Ali, chairman of the Union, stated this on Monday during a briefing with journalists in Abuja.

Recall that President Bola Tinubu had last Friday sacked Dr. Lamido Yuguda, former director general and announced a new management and board for the Commission.

While Mr. Mairiga Aliyu Katuka is the chairman of the new board, Dr. Emomotimi Agama is the new director-general.

Abba said the administration of the Yuguda “failed in its mandate to effectively regulate and develop the capital market, which is an intricate part of the Nigerian economy.”

Furthermore, he said the Yuguda-led Management “was insensitive and unresponsive towards issues of staff welfare especially issues bordering on staff promotion, gratuity and increase of staff emolument, amongst many others.”

He said, “Unfortunately, staff morale was at the lowest ebb under the regime of the immediate past Management.

‘It became clear to the SEC Staff Union and our parent body, the Association of Senior Civil Servants of Nigeria (ASCSN) that a vibrant capital market and a highly motivated SEC workforce could only be achieved through a change of SEC Management by Mr President.

“This prompted the Union to cry out to His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu. By clearing out the ineffective SEC Management led by Lamido Yuguda, His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has lived up to his sterling reputation as a listening President.”

He said the SEC Staff Union has pledged to collaborate seamlessly with the new board under the leadership of board chairman, Mr. Mairiga Aliyu Katuka and Director General, Dr. Emomotimi Agama, to deliver a vibrant capital market in line with President Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

However, to achieve this, he called for the commission to be exempted from the 50 per cent deductions on operating surplus as contained in the Finance Act 2024 because the Commission is a development institution.

He said, “We want this management to look into issues of staff promotion, vacancies and gratuity. We urge them to look at it very well and settle those issues as they concern staff directly.

“Also, there is need for Management to meet with the government on the issue of 50 per cent deductions on operating surplus. These deductions have almost incapacitated the Commission as the SEC has been having great difficulties carrying out its dual functions of regulating and developing the capital market.”

On the capital market, he said the Union is “urging the new management to constitute a market wide committee who will proffer solutions to the various issues currently bedevilling the market.”


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Kenya to Extradite Anjarwalla, Binance Executive Linked to Tax Evasion to Nigeria

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Kenya is preparing to extradite Nadeem Anjarwalla, a Binance executive wanted by Nigerian authorities for alleged involvement in tax evasion and a dramatic escape from custody.

Kenya to Extradite Anjarwalla, Binance Executive Linked to Tax Evasion to Nigeria

Anjarwalla was apprehended in Kenya over the weekend in a joint operation involving several agencies, including the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), Nigeria Police Force, Kenya Police Service, FBI, and INTERPOL, following weeks of search efforts.

He is expected to be extradited to Nigeria within the week to face trial on tax evasion charges, with the possibility of additional charges related to illegal passport use and escape from custody.

Anjarwalla, Binance Africa’s regional manager, along with another executive, Tigran Gambrayan, encountered legal issues in Nigeria in February due to their association with the crypto exchange.

Anjarwalla evaded custody in March using a Kenyan passport and had been evading authorities until his recent capture.

This development adds to the ongoing tension between Binance and Nigerian authorities. Gambrayan, who has been detained since February, is currently facing trial for alleged tax evasion.

However, the proceedings have faced delays, with the court adjourning the case twice due to issues with formally serving charges to the exchange. Binance CEO Richard Teng has expressed willingness to cooperate with Nigerian authorities, but specific efforts to secure the release of the detained executives remain undisclosed.

Similarly, Gambrayan’Kenya to Extradite Binance Executive Linked to Tax Evasion to Nigeria attempts to secure bail have encountered obstacles, with a federal high court in Abuja postponing his bail application hearing.

He is presently held at the Kuje Correctional Center pending further legal proceedings.


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Moniepoint MFB opens office in Lagos, pledges to do more for customers

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In today’s fast paced financial services landscape, which has been defined by the ubiquity of digital and mobile banking tools, microfinance banks continue to play a crucial role in advancing financial inclusion. The hallmark of banking is customer satisfaction as such organizations that consistently invent new ways to meet consumer needs and ensure that they are well catered to are viewed as exemplars.

In a move aimed at enhancing customer satisfaction while providing more outlets for addressing customers’ enquiries and requests, the definitive bank for small and medium-sized businesses in Nigeria, as well as their customers and employees, Moniepoint Microfinance Bank has announced the opening of a new office in Lagos.

The new office which is situated on Admiralty Road in the Lekki area of Lagos follows from the relocation of its MFB office from Oyo-Ibadan Rd to Lagos. The new Moniepoint MFB office offers a full suite of banking services that cater to the essential financial needs of its customers, empowering them to truly live productive lives.

Commenting on the development, the Managing Director, Moniepoint MFB, Babatunde Olofin noted that the Bank’s visionary commitment to ensuring the creation of a society where everyone experiences financial happiness and they are sufficiently empowered to bring their dreams to fruition adding that the new branch is in strong alignment with this proposition which alongside its other core digital banking channels, plays a key role in how the financial institution serves and provide solutions to customers across the country.

“As we consistently bolster our digital capabilities, we recognize that physical sites remain an important touchpoint for many customers, who relish the trust, inter-personal touch and clarity at face-to-face conversations which our amazing customer service personnel provide.

“As such, creating connected experiences – physical and digital to provide access to best in class banking services affords us the privilege to deliver customer satisfaction and drive our business growth even as we strive to meet and surpass the expectations of our stakeholders,” he said.

Olofin reiterated that at the heart of Moniepoint’s success are its highly esteemed customers and that judging from feedback, testimonials, as well as the huge adoption of its products and services, the Bank is poised and well positioned to deliver more quality and value-adding banking services.

It will be recalled that Moniepoint MFB recently launched a USSD code,*5573# to offer customers a fast and user-friendly platform for consumers to carry out their banking activities safely and securely. This is in addition to a partnership that has been forged with the Corporate Affairs Commission (CAC) to digitize over 30 million MSMEs in the next 5 years with a view to enabling them to contribute more meaningfully to job creation and national growth.


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