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King Dollar Returns in Style

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The rising prospects of more US interest rate increases in 2017 has encouraged Dollar bullish investors to ruthlessly attack global stocks, emerging markets and commodities during trading this week.

Asian shares were noticeable tepid on Friday as participants re-evaluated the likely impacts of higher rates to emerging market economies.

With the holiday mood slowly kicking in after the Fed surprise, European markets and Wall Street may cruise in today’s session. When king Dollar enters the scene, no prisoners are taken and such could translate to further losses in emerging markets and Gold as the year comes to an end.

Speaking of Gold, the metal sunk to fresh 10 month lows below $1140 on Thursday as markets digested the possibility of more US interest rate hikes in 2017. With the metal historically known for its zero-yielding status, rising rates in the world’s largest economy could grant bearish investors the permission to attack prices to levels not seen since 2015.

The strengthening Dollar may become a key theme for the early parts of 2017 consequently capping any extreme upside gains on Gold. From a technical standpoint, the breakdown below $1140 could encourage a further decline towards $1150.

The main discussion which seized the headlines during late trading on Thursday was how a resurgent Dollar could revive the EURUSD parity dream. With the European Central Bank extending its QE and the Fed on route to raising US interest rates next year, the explosive divergence in monetary policy between these two major central banks could ensure the EURUSD remains depressed for prolonged periods.

The Euro may be pressured as uncertainty intensifies ahead of the French and German elections while Dollar revival should effectively make the EURUSD a sellers dream.

As of writing the pair currently hovers around 14 year lows at 1.040 with steeper declines expected in the future when bearish investors exploit the 1.050 dynamic resistances.

Focusing on today, it’s all about the Dollar with the improving sentiment towards the US economy and heightened rate hike expectations providing a firm foundation for bulls to install heavy rounds of buying on the Dollar Index.

Repeatedly positive US data and rising optimism over fiscal stimulus measures boosting US growth have been the drivers behind the Greenbacks awe inspiring rebound in Q4.

Dollar bulls are back in town and this could provide enough inspiration for buyers to send the Dollar Index to fresh 14 highs as the year comes to an end. From a technical standpoint, the Dollar Index exploded above 103.00 on Thursday and such could pave a path towards 105.00.

Focusing back on commodities, WTI crude is clearly gasping for air as the combination of concerns over the OPEC and Non-OPEC cut agreement and a strengthening Dollar encourages sellers to pounce.

The explosive impacts of lasts weeks’ unexpected corporation with OPEC and Non-OPEC could be fading away as fears heighten over the cartel members going against the settlement.

Concerns over the oversupply and effectiveness of the proposed deal could be revived in the New Yea if reports of OPEC pumping at record highs persist. As of now, the driver behind WTI’s decline is a resurgent Dollar which could pull the commodity back below $50 by year end.

Currency Spotlight – GBPUSD
The Brutal Sterling selloff post vote to leaving the European Union has been one of the key highlights of 2016. Sterling has been exposed to extreme losses with any appreciation in prices seen as a technical bounce for sellers to install repeated rounds of selling.

With concerns still elevated over the Brexit woes impacting UK economic growth, buying sentiment towards the currency remains remarkably low.

Dollars upsurge from the renewed US rate hike expectations has left the GBPUSD vulnerable to further losses with the pair hovering above 1.2400 as of writing. Previous support around 1.2500 could transform into a dynamic resistance that encourages a further selloff towards 1.2300.


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E-Financial

FG Recovers N57Bn Debt from 10 MDAs

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Federal government has announced the recovery of N57 billion from the N5.2 trillion liaibilities owed the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) and other bodies by Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs) of government

FG Recovers N57Bn Debt from 10 MDAs

Okokon Ekanem Udo, permanent secretary, Special Duties, Federal Ministry of Finance made the disclosure on Tuesday in Enugu State during a Sensitisation Workshop on Federal Government Debt Recovery Drive through Project Lighthouse Programme for South-East geo-political zone.

While declaring the event open, Ekanem stated that the debts came to the spotlight from data aggregated from over 5,000+ debtors across more than 93 MDAs.

This was according to a statement by Mohammed Manga, spokesman for the ministry.

Represented by Aisha Omar, the ministry’s director, Special Projects, Ekanem Udo, informed that it also received refunds to the government from companies who failed to deliver on projects for which payment had been made, adding that others are unpaid credit facilities granted to both corporate entities and individuals by the Bank of Industry (BOI), Bank of Agriculture (BOA), Judgment Debt in favor of Government and debts owed Pension Transitional Arrangement Directorate (PTAD) by Insurance Companies amongst others.

He added that data from Project Lighthouse revealed that many companies and individuals, who owe government agencies and refused to honour their obligations were still being paid.

This, he said, was done through government platforms such as GIFMIS and Treasury Single Account (TSA) due to lack of visibility over these transactions.

According to him, in actualising debt recovery goal, the Federal Ministry of Finance initiated Project Lighthouse, which has enabled the aggregation of relevant economic and financial information from multiple agencies who hitherto did not share data.

Ekanem Udo explained that, generally, revenue loopholes have been aided by poor information sharing and enforcement.

It may interest you to note that the Ministry, through the consolidation efforts of the Debt Analytics and Reporting Application, has been able to aggregate monumental debts of approximately N5.2 trillion, he said.

The Permanent Secretary who informed further that the debt aggregation effort is still ongoing stated that currently, approximately N57 billion has been recovered so far from this amount due to concerted efforts on the part of stakeholders and the Federal Government

He disclosed that the Ministry has taken steps to address this major revenue loophole, through the issuance of a Ministerial directive to all MDAs to aggregate all Government debt across the Public Finance Space as well as having a single window on the credit profile of Government.

 

 

 

 


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E-Financial

Access Pensions Reaffirms Commitment Towards PBMs for Nigerians

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Access Pensions has emphasized its commitment to offering thorough guidance and assistance to customers interested in Pension Backed Mortgages (PBMs).

Head of Customer Experience at Access Pensions, Ophelia Alex-Iwuanyanwu, reiterated this commitment during a recent webinar organised by the company.

She also highlighted the Access advantage, showcasing the robust financial ecosystem provided by Access Corporation and how the firm is committed to ensuring the best for its customers.

Additionally, Chief Investment Officer, Access Pensions, Wale Okunrinboye, Regional Head, Business Development, Adaeze Raji and Head of Benefits Administration, Access Pensions, Zainab Bello, provided valuable insights to webinar attendees, offering tips to enhance pension planning security and manage personal finances effectively.

They reiterated the company’s commitment to delivering top-notch relationship management services. Alex-Iwuanyanwu said, “We offer competitive pension backed mortgage finance tailored to your needs, ensuring your goal of home ownership is achieved.

“We also guide our customers through every step of the homeownership journey, starting well before the application reaches us. We offer end-to-end guidance from our team to ensure a simplified process that reduces the turnaround time, from initiation to PENCOM’s approval.”

She further added that clients benefit from dedicated relationship managers, access to digital channels, financial literacy programs and superior investment returns. Additionally, efficient benefits administration ensures timely pension payouts globally.

Also, Okunrinboye, speaking on “Investment Management: How do we manage your pensions” said: “Our investment process is built around applying an analytical approach to securities analysis, asset allocation, optimal trade execution and a quantitative approach to risk management.”

Furthermore, Raji discussed the essential steps to achieve retirement goals, emphasising the importance of setting clear income targets and developing a comprehensive plan to achieve them. She noted that this involves identifying income sources, assessing expenses, establishing a savings strategy, and effectively managing assets and risks.

Bello delved into the specifics of pension benefits. She outlined the eligibility criteria for accessing retirement benefits, which include various circumstances such as mandatory or compulsory retirement, retirement due to medical reasons, or temporary loss of employment.

Additionally, she highlighted the factors that determine the amount payable to retirees, including gender, the total balance in the retirement savings account (RSA), final salary details, and the age at which retirement occurs.

The webinar, hosted by Head of Brand and Communications, Mojisola Coker, provided an enlightening platform for customers to engage in a question-and-answer session, fostering valuable insights.

 


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Former SEC Leadership Failed to Regulate, Develop Capital Market- ASCSN

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Senior Staff Union under the aegis of Association of Senior Civil Servants of Nigeria (ASCSN) of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has accused the past administration of the Commission led by Dr. Lamido Yuguda of failing in its mandate of effectively regulating and developing the capital market, which is an intricate part of the nation’s economy.

Former SEC Leadership Failed to Regulate, Develop Capital Market- ASCSN

ASCSN also urged the federal government to exempt workers of the commission from 50 percent operating surplus remittance

Abba Mamman Ali, chairman of the Union, stated this on Monday during a briefing with journalists in Abuja.

Recall that President Bola Tinubu had last Friday sacked Dr. Lamido Yuguda, former director general and announced a new management and board for the Commission.

While Mr. Mairiga Aliyu Katuka is the chairman of the new board, Dr. Emomotimi Agama is the new director-general.

Abba said the administration of the Yuguda “failed in its mandate to effectively regulate and develop the capital market, which is an intricate part of the Nigerian economy.”

Furthermore, he said the Yuguda-led Management “was insensitive and unresponsive towards issues of staff welfare especially issues bordering on staff promotion, gratuity and increase of staff emolument, amongst many others.”

He said, “Unfortunately, staff morale was at the lowest ebb under the regime of the immediate past Management.

‘It became clear to the SEC Staff Union and our parent body, the Association of Senior Civil Servants of Nigeria (ASCSN) that a vibrant capital market and a highly motivated SEC workforce could only be achieved through a change of SEC Management by Mr President.

“This prompted the Union to cry out to His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu. By clearing out the ineffective SEC Management led by Lamido Yuguda, His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has lived up to his sterling reputation as a listening President.”

He said the SEC Staff Union has pledged to collaborate seamlessly with the new board under the leadership of board chairman, Mr. Mairiga Aliyu Katuka and Director General, Dr. Emomotimi Agama, to deliver a vibrant capital market in line with President Tinubu’s Renewed Hope Agenda.

However, to achieve this, he called for the commission to be exempted from the 50 per cent deductions on operating surplus as contained in the Finance Act 2024 because the Commission is a development institution.

He said, “We want this management to look into issues of staff promotion, vacancies and gratuity. We urge them to look at it very well and settle those issues as they concern staff directly.

“Also, there is need for Management to meet with the government on the issue of 50 per cent deductions on operating surplus. These deductions have almost incapacitated the Commission as the SEC has been having great difficulties carrying out its dual functions of regulating and developing the capital market.”

On the capital market, he said the Union is “urging the new management to constitute a market wide committee who will proffer solutions to the various issues currently bedevilling the market.”


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