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Trump Rally to Be Tested by Healthcare Vote

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FXTM Research Analyst Lukman Otunuga comments on Sterling has staged a remarkable rebound this week with bulls almost rebelling against the Brexit woes by propelling the GBPUSD above 1.2500 during Thursday’s trading session.

A growing sense of caution has gripped the financial markets this week with investors on standby ahead of Thursday’s key healthcare vote in Congress which may thoroughly test the Trump bump.

Uncertainty over Donald Trump’s proposed economic agenda has already triggered risk aversion and any complications in the healthcare reform could spell trouble for this phenomenal stock market rally. Global stocks may be exposed to downside shocks with the threat of a potential setback in the healthcare bill raising doubts over Trump’s ability to move forward with the proposed tax cuts and infrastructure spending. Today will be the first major test for Trump’s legislative ability and the outcome may either create a Trump slump or technical bounce for bulls to exploit.

Sterling Hovering Around 1.2500
Sterling has staged a remarkable rebound this week with bulls almost rebelling against the Brexit woes by propelling the GBPUSD above 1.2500 during Thursday’s trading session. The Dollar’s persistent weakness combined with February’s blockbuster retail sales figure of 1.4% may have created an illusion of a bullish bias returning to Sterling.

Although the retail sales figure for February was unquestionably impressive and illustrated strong growth, the underlying three-month view from December and January still displayed a slowdown.

With the Article 50 set to be triggered next week and the focus redirected towards Brexit, Sterling could be instore for a messy rollercoaster ride.

The lingering concerns over complications arising in the negotiation process may compound to the jitters consequently exposing Sterling to downside risks.

While bulls may be commended on their ability to exploit Dollar’s weakness and elevate Sterling repeatedly despite the Brexit anxieties, questions may be asked over how much steam the over-extended technical bounce has left. With uncertainty still the name of the game when dealing with Sterling, there remains a likelihood of the Brexit developments dictating where the currency trades with macro fundamentals becoming secondary.

From a technical standpoint, Sterling bulls may win the battle this week if 1.2500 is conquered. A decisive breakout and daily close above 1.2500 could open a path towards 1.2600. On the other hand, if 1.2500 remains defensive then bears have a chance to test Wednesday’s daily low at 1.2420.

Yellen Conference In Focus
King Dollar was on the back foot this week with the Dollar Index struggling to break back above 100.00 as sellers exploited the renewed Trump jitters to attack prices incessantly. Dollar bulls remain on the hunt for inspiration to pump life into the Greenback with Yellen’s speech today at a Community Development Conference seen as an opportunity.

If Yellen dishes a hawkish surprise or any fresh insights on rate hike timings, then bulls could be encouraged to elevate the Dollar Index back towards the psychological 100.00 level. On the other hand, if bulls are left empty handed then the Greenback could be instore for further punishment in the short term.

Commodity spotlight – Gold
The risk-off trading environment has boosted appetite for safe-haven assets with Gold becoming an investor’s popular choice this week. Prices have climbed to a three-week high above $1250 with Dollar weakness fueling the upside momentum.

Although Gold may find itself under pressure in the longer term when the Dollar stabilizes, risk aversion could uplift the yellow metal higher in the short term.

From a technical standpoint, the fact that bulls have conquered $1240 on the daily charts suggests that the upside still has some steam. A decisive breakout above $1250 may open a path towards $1260.

 

 


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E-Financial

Shareholders Approve $1.5bn Capital Raising for Access Holdings

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The shareholders of Access Holdings Plc have unanimously approved the company’s proposed capital raising of $1.5 billion through a bond or share sale and a further N365 billion via a Rights Issue to fund its ambitious growth plans.

The shareholders also ratified the appointments of Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede, Olusegun Ogbonnewo, and Ojinika Olaghere as Non-Executive Directors.

The appointment of Aig-Imoukhuede as the Chairman of Access Holdings was praised by the shareholders, who pointed to his rich history of success with the institution, having transformed it into Nigeria’s biggest lender by market value alongside late Herbert Wigwe.

The shareholders stated that Aigboje’s leadership was instrumental in driving the institution’s growth during the 2004 recapitalisation of the banking industry led by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) under the leadership of its former Governor, Prof. Charles Soludo.

“We are thrilled with Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede’s return to the role of Chairman. His proven track record, experience, and strategic insights position him as the ideal leader to steer Access Holdings towards meeting its lofty targets.

During his tenure as CEO, particularly during the recapitalisation directive by the CBN, he steered Access Bank to raise an impressive $2 billion in capital, and this demonstrates his capacity to, once again, lead Access Holdings towards successfully achieving the objectives of our planned capital raise and Rights Issue targets,” said Chief Sunny Nwosu, Chairman Emeritus of the Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria (ISAN).

In line with the Group’s strong financial performance, the payment of a final dividend of N1.80 kobo per every N0.50 kobo ordinary share for the 2023 financial year was approved, marking a 28 per cent improvement from the corresponding period in 2022.

 


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Confusion as CBN Deletes, Reinstates Tweet Calling Crypto-Related Directive Fake

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has been forced to deny a report saying it issued a directive requiring all banks and financial institutions to identify individuals or entities engaging in transactions with cryptocurrency exchanges and to ensure that such accounts are put on Post No Debit (PND) instruction for six months.

Confusion as CBN Deletes, Reinstates Tweet Calling Crypto-Related Directive Fake

A “Post No Debit” instruction is a directive issued by a bank or financial institution to restrict certain transactions on a customer’s account.

When a PND instruction is in place, the account holder is prohibited from making debit transactions, meaning they cannot withdraw funds or make payments using the affected account.

Confusion occurred when the central bank denied the story on X but then deleted the denial.

The alleged circular also stated that regulated financial institutions engaged in crypto or facilitating payments for crypto exchanges are prohibited.

However, this contradicts an earlier ban lifted in December 2023, allowing banks to facilitate transactions for crypto exchanges.

The central bank lifted the ban nearly two years after enforcing a comprehensive ban on banks engaging with digital currencies.

According to a statement by the CBN at the time, it recognized that the increasing global demand and adoption of crypto make it unjustifiable to maintain the stringent restrictions imposed on financial institutions in 2021.

However, due to the swift devaluation of the naira and the subsequent inflation rate of 29.9%, the government shifted its attention to platforms offering cryptocurrency services.

It disabled websites associated with crypto trading that had gained notoriety for setting informal valuations for the naira.

Binance encountered significant scrutiny when the CBN raised concerns regarding “suspicious financial transactions” occurring through Binance Nigeria in 2023.

Olayemi Cardoso, governor, CBN, said $26 billion had passed through Nigeria via Binance in 2023 from unidentified sources and users.

Binance is facing further challenges in Nigeria, with its executive Tigran Gambaryan, who is based in the United States, being detained in the country.

He’s facing five charges linked to money laundering following a meeting with Nigerian officials regarding Binance’s regulatory compliance.

Nadeem Anjarwalla, one of the executives who met with Nigerian officials about Binance’s regulatory issues, subsequently escaped custody and was tracked down to Kenya, where he faces extradition.

 


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NDIC Inaugurates Anti-Corruption and Transparency Unit

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Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) has inaugurated an Anti-Corruption and Transparency Unit (ACTU) at its headquarters in Abuja.

NDIC Inaugurates Anti-Corruption and Transparency Unit

Speaking at the inauguration which was conducted by officials of the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC); Mr. Bello Hassan, managing director/chief executive, NDIC, said the corporation has a culture of zero tolerance for corruption, which is further strengthened by its core values of teamwork, respect and fairness, integrity, professionalism, and passion.

Represented by Mr. Mustapha M. Ibrahim, executive director, Operations, Hassan, said, the NDIC ACTU has strengthened the Corporation’s operational system through the implementation of various compliance measures to ensure ethics, integrity, transparency and accountability in the workplace.

He explained that the specific measures include robust Internal Controls, regular Risk Assessments, and strict adherence to regulatory guidelines, and comprehensive training programs for employees.

Hassan described the inauguration as a significant step in the Corporation’s ongoing commitment in the fight against corruption and enhances transparency.

He emphasised that NDIC Management remains committed to supporting ACTU activities, recognizing the unit’s critical role in ensuring the Corporation’s operations are conducted with integrity, free from corruption, and fostering public trust.

Dr. Musa Adamu Aliyu, chairman, ICPC, who was represented by Mr. Olusegun Adigun, acting director System Study and Review, ICPC, praised NDIC management for their dedication and active support in establishing and advancing the activities of the ACTU to address corruption issues and foster ethical practices.

He applauded the efficiency and diligence of the NDIC ACTU in fulfilling its mandate, resulting in the Corporation retaining the first position for two consecutive years on the annual ICPC Ethics and Integrity Compliance Scorecard.

He urged the new ACTU members to see their nomination as an opportunity to build on the good legacies of the previous members and to complement Management’s efforts in promoting the core values of the Corporation through their assigned duties.

 

 


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