E-Financial
Naira Steady Ahead of FOMC Meeting, Oil Pushes Higher
Lukman Otunuga, Research Analyst at FXTM,
The Nigerian Naira was basically flat on the forward markets, despite the Dollar depreciating on expectations that the Federal Reserve will be adopting a dovish stance this week.
Investors with an interest in the Naira will be closely monitoring the FOMC meeting this week, which has the potential to impact the emerging market currency. Buying sentiment towards the Naira is likely to jump if the Federal Reserve adopts a dovish stance towards rates and expresses concerns over the US economy.
The Naira also remains influenced by Oil prices, as a fair chunk of Nigeria’s export revenues come from Oil sales. Although rising Oil prices will be a welcome development for the Naira in the near-term, the currency’s outlook remains impacted by domestic conditions at home and geopolitical risk factors across the globe. The next major event risk for the Nigerian economy will be in Central Bank of Nigeria’s interest rate decision next Tuesday. Will the CBN drop hints of a possible rate cut some time in the future? This is a question on the minds of investors.
Brexit chaos deepens as Commons Speaker derails third vote on May’s deal
The British Pound fell yesterday afternoon after the House of Commons Speaker John Bercow essentially banned Theresa May’s Brexit deal from getting a third vote. Although prices later recovered, this once again highlights the tremendously fluid Brexit equation that markets have to contend with. Now, all eyes turn to the summit in Brussels on Thursday, where EU leaders will have their say on an extension to Brexit. It’s key to note that the extension has to be unanimously agreed upon by all 27 member nations before a no-deal Brexit can be safely removed from the table; should just one of the EU members reject reasons for the deadline extension, the Pound will most likely find itself exposed to significant downside risks.
With the prolonged moving nature and fluidity of the Brexit situation weighing heavily on sentiment, Sterling remains at risk of unwinding its year-to-date gains. Still, the base case that markets are pricing in is one of a delayed Brexit, which may only happen in 2020. However, as we have learned in recent weeks more time may not wholly be a good thing, as it could also bring about extended periods of uncertainty and potentially more permutations to the final Brexit outcome. Barring any more surprises, expect the Pound to trade range-bound this week.
Commodity spotlight – WTI Oil
WTI Crude found comfort near its highest levels so far this year, after OPEC+ assured markets that its members will stick to the output cuts through the first half of 2019. Saudi Energy Minister Khalid Al-Falih says there remains a “significant glut” in global supplies which still needs to be drawn down before considering scaling back on production cuts, a move that’s supportive of Oil prices. OPEC+ producers need to demonstrate unified efforts in their attempts to rebalance the Oil markets and to have any chance of offsetting record US Shale production.
Between now and the OPEC meeting scheduled to take place in Vienna in June, markets will certainly be closely monitoring indicators on global supply and demand. With US shale production still robust as ever, oversupply fears are likely to linger in the background. However, sanctions on other Oil producers, namely Iran and Venezuela, may sooth such concerns. Meanwhile on the demand side, should global growth show more obvious signs of faltering, this may open up more downside for Oil.
E-Financial
Shareholders Approve $1.5bn Capital Raising for Access Holdings
The shareholders of Access Holdings Plc have unanimously approved the company’s proposed capital raising of $1.5 billion through a bond or share sale and a further N365 billion via a Rights Issue to fund its ambitious growth plans.
The shareholders also ratified the appointments of Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede, Olusegun Ogbonnewo, and Ojinika Olaghere as Non-Executive Directors.
The appointment of Aig-Imoukhuede as the Chairman of Access Holdings was praised by the shareholders, who pointed to his rich history of success with the institution, having transformed it into Nigeria’s biggest lender by market value alongside late Herbert Wigwe.
The shareholders stated that Aigboje’s leadership was instrumental in driving the institution’s growth during the 2004 recapitalisation of the banking industry led by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) under the leadership of its former Governor, Prof. Charles Soludo.
“We are thrilled with Aigboje Aig-Imoukhuede’s return to the role of Chairman. His proven track record, experience, and strategic insights position him as the ideal leader to steer Access Holdings towards meeting its lofty targets.
During his tenure as CEO, particularly during the recapitalisation directive by the CBN, he steered Access Bank to raise an impressive $2 billion in capital, and this demonstrates his capacity to, once again, lead Access Holdings towards successfully achieving the objectives of our planned capital raise and Rights Issue targets,” said Chief Sunny Nwosu, Chairman Emeritus of the Independent Shareholders Association of Nigeria (ISAN).
In line with the Group’s strong financial performance, the payment of a final dividend of N1.80 kobo per every N0.50 kobo ordinary share for the 2023 financial year was approved, marking a 28 per cent improvement from the corresponding period in 2022.
E-Financial
Confusion as CBN Deletes, Reinstates Tweet Calling Crypto-Related Directive Fake
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has been forced to deny a report saying it issued a directive requiring all banks and financial institutions to identify individuals or entities engaging in transactions with cryptocurrency exchanges and to ensure that such accounts are put on Post No Debit (PND) instruction for six months.
A “Post No Debit” instruction is a directive issued by a bank or financial institution to restrict certain transactions on a customer’s account.
When a PND instruction is in place, the account holder is prohibited from making debit transactions, meaning they cannot withdraw funds or make payments using the affected account.
Confusion occurred when the central bank denied the story on X but then deleted the denial.
The alleged circular also stated that regulated financial institutions engaged in crypto or facilitating payments for crypto exchanges are prohibited.
However, this contradicts an earlier ban lifted in December 2023, allowing banks to facilitate transactions for crypto exchanges.
The central bank lifted the ban nearly two years after enforcing a comprehensive ban on banks engaging with digital currencies.
According to a statement by the CBN at the time, it recognized that the increasing global demand and adoption of crypto make it unjustifiable to maintain the stringent restrictions imposed on financial institutions in 2021.
However, due to the swift devaluation of the naira and the subsequent inflation rate of 29.9%, the government shifted its attention to platforms offering cryptocurrency services.
It disabled websites associated with crypto trading that had gained notoriety for setting informal valuations for the naira.
Binance encountered significant scrutiny when the CBN raised concerns regarding “suspicious financial transactions” occurring through Binance Nigeria in 2023.
Olayemi Cardoso, governor, CBN, said $26 billion had passed through Nigeria via Binance in 2023 from unidentified sources and users.
Binance is facing further challenges in Nigeria, with its executive Tigran Gambaryan, who is based in the United States, being detained in the country.
He’s facing five charges linked to money laundering following a meeting with Nigerian officials regarding Binance’s regulatory compliance.
Nadeem Anjarwalla, one of the executives who met with Nigerian officials about Binance’s regulatory issues, subsequently escaped custody and was tracked down to Kenya, where he faces extradition.
E-Financial
NDIC Inaugurates Anti-Corruption and Transparency Unit
Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) has inaugurated an Anti-Corruption and Transparency Unit (ACTU) at its headquarters in Abuja.
Speaking at the inauguration which was conducted by officials of the Independent Corrupt Practices and Other Related Offences Commission (ICPC); Mr. Bello Hassan, managing director/chief executive, NDIC, said the corporation has a culture of zero tolerance for corruption, which is further strengthened by its core values of teamwork, respect and fairness, integrity, professionalism, and passion.
Represented by Mr. Mustapha M. Ibrahim, executive director, Operations, Hassan, said, the NDIC ACTU has strengthened the Corporation’s operational system through the implementation of various compliance measures to ensure ethics, integrity, transparency and accountability in the workplace.
He explained that the specific measures include robust Internal Controls, regular Risk Assessments, and strict adherence to regulatory guidelines, and comprehensive training programs for employees.
Hassan described the inauguration as a significant step in the Corporation’s ongoing commitment in the fight against corruption and enhances transparency.
He emphasised that NDIC Management remains committed to supporting ACTU activities, recognizing the unit’s critical role in ensuring the Corporation’s operations are conducted with integrity, free from corruption, and fostering public trust.
Dr. Musa Adamu Aliyu, chairman, ICPC, who was represented by Mr. Olusegun Adigun, acting director System Study and Review, ICPC, praised NDIC management for their dedication and active support in establishing and advancing the activities of the ACTU to address corruption issues and foster ethical practices.
He applauded the efficiency and diligence of the NDIC ACTU in fulfilling its mandate, resulting in the Corporation retaining the first position for two consecutive years on the annual ICPC Ethics and Integrity Compliance Scorecard.
He urged the new ACTU members to see their nomination as an opportunity to build on the good legacies of the previous members and to complement Management’s efforts in promoting the core values of the Corporation through their assigned duties.
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