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GSMA Report Favours Competition over Wholesale Networks

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The GSMA has released a new report that predicts a move away from traditional mobile network competition towards single wholesale networks1 which would stifle innovation, restrict investment and take-up of mobile broadband services and ultimately be against consumer interests.

Developed by Frontier Economics, the report, “Assessing the Case for Single Wholesale Networks in Mobile Communications”, examines whether single wholesale networks could meet a government’s objective for improved coverage and explores more effective ways to achieve the same goal.

The report analyses the historic performance of countries with a single network compared to those with multiple competitors to consider how a single wholesale network would likely perform in practice. It finds that in countries with competing networks, 3G covered 36 per cent more population and that overall coverage increased three times faster than in those served by a single network2.

“In 2000, there were as many countries served by a single mobile network as there were those with competing networks. Today only 30 countries, representing less than three per cent of the world’s population, are served by a single network,” said Tom Phillips, chief regulatory officer, GSMA.

“Network competition has produced unprecedented growth and innovation in mobile services, with 3.7 billion unique mobile subscribers globally in 2014, more than US$1.7 trillion of total worldwide investment since 2002 and mobile 3G broadband coverage reaching over half of the world’s citizens3. This indisputable success story should continue in the era of mobile broadband, across the globe and particularly in emerging markets.”

Comparing Single Wholesale Networks with Network Competition

 Advocates of single wholesale networks argue they can respond to issues such as inadequate or slow coverage in rural areas, inefficient use of spectrum and a lack of incentives for the private sector to maximise coverage or investment better than the model of network competition. However, the report demonstrates that the existing approach of network competition offers better long-term benefits:

Network Coverage – Some supporters of single wholesale networks claim they will deliver greater network coverage than network competition. The new report finds this often reflects the existence of public subsidies and other forms of support for the monopoly wholesale network model rather than any inherent advantage over competing network operators.

Innovation and New Services – The report finds that, in practice, single networks typically take 12 to 18 months longer to perform upgrades and embrace new technologies such as 3G, limiting the availability of new services for consumers, reducing quality and increasing costs.

Uncertainty for Investors – When initially established, single wholesale networks would have to co-exist for some period with existing networks.

This will likely lead to a distortion of competition in the market, increasing uncertainty both for those investing in the single wholesale networks and for those investing in existing networks, leading to less investment in mobile broadband services.

Impact of Monopolies – In the longer term, single wholesale networks would need to evolve into regulated monopolies to meet their key objectives.

As monopolies, single wholesale networks will always have incentives to keep prices high and limit investment and will have little impetus to innovate.

Although regulation of the network may attempt to overcome some of these problems, experience shows that this will be difficult in practice and will not match the performance of competing networks. 

Subsidising Network Competition – Although publicly-funded single wholesale networks could be used to deliver coverage in areas into which privately funded competing networks might not be able to serve, the report suggests that policy makers should consider measures to extend the benefits of network competition to those areas rather than replacing competition with monopoly.

This includes imposing coverage obligations at the time of licence award for new spectrum, particularly in low frequency 700MHz and 800MHz bands, and other forms of subsidy such as the award of contracts to cover particular areas using public funds.

Policy makers in a number of countries have been considering establishing a single wholesale network instead of relying on competing mobile networks to deliver 4G mobile broadband services, but there are currently no nationwide initiatives in action.

“No single wholesale network has been fully implemented in any country in the world yet and designing, financing and implementing these networks will likely prove highly challenging. We believe that a radical departure from the approach of licensing competing mobile operators, favoured by policy makers for the past 30 years, would harm a nation’s consumers, businesses and economy,” added Phillips.


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Telcos Record N27Bn Loss from Damaged Fibre Cables

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Repairs and revenue losses from damaged cables are estimated to have cost Nigeria’s telecom industry almost N27bn ($23m) in 2023, according to documents obtained by Bloomberg.

Telcos Record N27Bn Loss from Damaged Fibre Cables

MTN Nigeria, the biggest wireless operator in Africa’s most-populous nation, and Airtel Africa Plc bore the brunt of the costs, the documents show.

MTN suffered more than 6,000 cuts on its fiber cable last year, the documents show.

On Feb. 28, a cut in its network in three different locations by a road construction firm, an oil serving company, and someone burning rubbish in a manhole meant customers faced more than five hours of data and voice outages.

The operator relocated 2,500 kilometers (1,553 miles) of vulnerable fiber cables between 2022 and 2023, at a cost of more than N11bn —enough to build 870 kilometers of new fiber lines in areas without coverage.

Broadband fibre optic cables form the backbone of modern communication infrastructure, enabling the high-speed data transmission that underpins a wide range of personal, business, and societal activities.

On several occasions, the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC), the industry regulator, has acknowledged this challenge and expressed willingness to work on measures to address it.

These measures include stricter regulations to deter vandalism and improved collaboration between telcos and government agencies responsible for construction activities.

According to the NCC, the telecom sector will make up more than a fifth of the country’s gross domestic product by the end of 2027, up from 13.5 per cent in the third quarter of last year.


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NCAIR Relaunch: Pantami, Tijani Fight for Credit

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Isa Pantami, former minister of Communications and Digital Economy, has voiced his discontent over the relaunch of the National Centre for Artificial Intelligence and Robotics (NCAIR) by Bosun Tijani, his successor.

Isa Pantami, former minister of Communications and Digital Economy,

Tijani announced the revitalization of NCAIR, highlighting enhancements in its capacity and partnerships with global tech firm Cisco.

However, Pantami took to social media to assert that NCAIR was already established during his tenure in November 2020, dubbing it “the first of its kind in Africa” and emphasizing its effectiveness in training numerous Nigerians.

Tijani responded by detailing the new initiatives accompanying the relaunch, including increased computing infrastructure, dedicated research labs, and remote connectivity for AI hubs across the country. He also unveiled outcomes from the Ministry’s National AI Workshop, such as the country’s first Multilingual Large Language Model and partnerships aimed at accelerating AI development projects of national significance.

The exchange between Pantami and Tijani underscores ongoing efforts to advance AI research and application in Nigeria while navigating questions of continuity and leadership transition within the Ministry.

 


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ABoICT Lecture 2024 to Focus on Artificial Intelligence (AI) In A Digital Economy

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This year’s Africa’s Beacon of ICT Merit and Leadership lecture will focus on the role of artificial intelligence in a digital economy with the theme: “Artificial Intelligence (AI): The Good, The Complex and The Anticipated”.

The lecture which will herald Africa’s Beacon of ICT Merit and Leadership Awards hold on May 25, 2024 at Four Points by Sheraton.

The sixteenth edition of the award ceremony according Ken Nwogbo, editor-in-chief of Nigeria CommunicationsWeek the organizers of the event, “is a special edition to recognize and celebrate organizations and individuals in the ICT industry that have been distinguished in delivery innovative services in the sector.

“Most of these organizations and individuals have consistently being voted by our readers as leaders in their areas of operations and we have decided to reward them in this especial edition”.

He added that, AI is considered to have the potential to instigate a fourth industrial revolution,1 and is dramatically changing people’s patterns of interaction and economic activities.

“The traditional factors of production and physical capital and labour may no longer promote substantial economic growth. It is generally believed that AI will be one of the most important factors determining future economic growth.

“However, unlike traditional machines, which replaced the use of human and animal labor for simple manual work and heavy or dangerous activities, AI-related inputs may change the type of human work in a comprehensive way.

“In contrast to previous industrial revolutions, AI does not simply involve the invention of a new machine or technology. Instead, AI has similarities to the accumulation of human capital, as it can learn and accumulate knowledge by itself,” he said.

The Africa’s Beacon of ICT Merit and Leadership Distinguished Lecture is designed to explore efforts to put Nigeria on the global Information and Communications Technologies map.

The lecture series however is reserved for distinguished achievers in the ICT sector.

Past lecturers included Dr. Ernest Ndukwe, then executive vice chairman, Nigeria Communications Commission (NCC); Engr. Yomi Bolarinwa, former Director-General of National Broadcasting Commission (NBC); Dr. Jean Luc Fort, CEO at OR System France and a specialist in Counterparty Risk; and Professor Chris Nwagboso, Chairman, Knowledge Factory International, United Kingdom.

Others are: Uche Orji, managing director/chief executive officer, Nigeria Sovereign Investment Authority (NSIA); Biodu Omoniyi, Managing Director/CEO, VDT Communications; Ayotunde Coker, Managing Director, Rack Centre Limited; Peter Adedayo Arogundade, managing director and chief executive officer, Sidmach Technologies Nigeria Limited; Dr. Adewale Obadare, chief visionary officer, Digital Encode and John Obaro, CEO and founder of Systemspecs; Prof. Isa Pantanmi, minister of Communications and Digital Economy; among others.


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