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5G Remains a Pretty Distant Dream for Majority of Africa’s Mobile Users – Report

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In 2020, 3G will still be more popular than 5G. That’s according to mobile analytics company Opensignal in its mobile network experience predictions for next year.

“In the world of telecoms, 2019 will probably be remembered as the year 5G got serious, going from a few initial test networks to reach millions of users in dozens of markets worldwide,” says Peter Boyland, senior analyst at Opensignal.

“So, what can we expect from the next generation, and the rest of the mobile world, in 2020? We’ve had a look into our crystal ball to bring you our top predictions for the coming year,” he says.

Opensignal’s data shows that 27.2% of its global user base has never connected to 4G and instead relies on 3G.

“And this is not just in emerging markets,” Boland says. “Our recent analysis in Germany found that up to half of users don’t connect to 4G networks. 5G adoption is moving too slowly to overtake 3G adoption in just one year, anywhere in the world.”

Distant dream for Africa

Speaking about the African market, Boyland says: “Even in the most advanced African markets, we rarely see 4G availability scores over the 80% mark, meaning that the priority for most operators on the continent remains the roll-out of their 4G networks.

“Nonetheless, some operators in more mature markets, such as MTN in South Africa, are preparing to test 5G networks – suggesting we could see a commercial launch in a major city on the continent as early as 2020. But for the vast majority of Africa’s mobile users, 5G remains a pretty distant dream.”

“As a general rule, we see many more 3G users in less developed countries, where operators are still rolling out 4G networks, while more advanced countries in Europe, Asia and North America have much higher proportion of 4G users,” Boyland says.

“However, in some countries like Germany, for example, they stand out with one of the highest proportions of 3G users – out of our user base – compared to the other developed countries.”

Opensignal’s analysis shows that South Korea is currently leading in terms of 5G subscribers and devices, but it is seeing some of the fastest speeds in the US.

Boyland explains this is a result of widespread US launches using the mmWave spectrum bands, which offer blisteringly fast speeds but limited network propagation.

“The US is in dire need of lower bandwidth spectrum to accelerate 5G coverage, and this issue with spectrum availability is likely to be an ongoing theme globally as 5G becomes more ubiquitous.”

Full experience

Opensignal also predicts 4G will remain an essential foundation for 5G services in 2020.

The mobile analytics firm recently found just 1% of speed tests its US users conducted from 5G New Radio (5G NR) enabled devices used an active 5G connection, compared with 20% of speed tests conducted in early 5G leader South Korea.

Much like the issue with non-standalone 5G networks, this means the user is not getting the full 5G experience, and this issue will continue in 2020 unless more 5G NR devices become available, it says.

The firm also believes spectrum availability will have a huge impact on the 5G experience.

“Our analysis shows that the frequencies used for 4G can have a strong impact on the mobile network experience,” Boyland says.

He points out the majority of early 5G launches have utilised mid-band spectrum, in the two 2GHz to 4GHz ranges.

These bands are ideal for urban roll-out, offering a good mix of data capacity, range and in-building penetration.

“But in some markets, particularly the US, availability of this spectrum is scarce, meaning operators are using higher mmWave bands. Markets using mmWave bands will struggle to offer wide coverage for 5G. Unless both mid-band spectrum and mmWave spectrum is available, the 5G experience will be incomplete,” Boyland says.

Easing congestion

Opensignal also predicts that using 5G to ease congestion on 4G networks will become a key operator use case come next year.

It points out current 5G networks have limited reach, meaning the vast majority of users are still relying heavily on 4G.

“And as data demand continues to rise, we are seeing signs of increased congestion on 4G networks. As 5G networks become more ubiquitous and devices more widespread, operators will look to move their heavy data users onto 5G, to improve the mobile network experience on 4G,” Boyland says.

“The 5G experience will depend on the type of spectrum used. Consumers connecting to 5G on low-band spectrum will not have a dramatically better experience than 4G, but consumers will still see 5G in their phone’s status bar.

“Those using mmWave will see extremely fast speeds, but very little coverage. But all kinds of network experience will be called 5G,” he concludes.


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FG Says 50 Percent Telecom Tariff Hike is Only a Start

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Wale Edun, minister of Finance, has stated that the recently approved 50 percent tariff increase in the cost of telecommunications services is only a starting point. He noted that it is necessary to balance rising operational costs with the provision of quality services and the broader economic considerations for both consumers and the telecoms industry.

FG Says 50 Percent Telecom Tariff Hike is Only a Start

Wale Edun

He said this during an interview on Arise News at the 2025 World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, Switzerland.

Edun explained that the tariff review, the first in 12 years, was necessitated by inflation and a significant rise in telecom operators’ operational costs.

While operators had requested a 100 percent increase to meet cost demands, the Federal Government approved a 50 percent increment as a compromise.

“There is a need to reflect the fact that over a 12-year period, there has been a rise in costs, there has been inflation, and that needs to be reflected,” Edun said.

“It is all about compromise and the timing and sequencing of these changes. As critical players in Nigeria’s economy, we want the telcos to operate efficiently, providing quality services, and contributing to GDP growth.”

Edun highlighted that the government’s primary objective is to ensure that telecom operators deliver efficient services, such as seamless call terminations and improved quality, while fostering growth in the sector.

“We don’t want dropped calls. We want good quality services from them. And at the same time, we want them growing, employing people, and adding to the country’s GDP,” he stated.

While acknowledging the backlash to the tariff increase due to its potential impact on the cost of living, Edun maintained that the government is committed to ongoing reviews and consultations to address these concerns and ensure that the adjustments remain beneficial for both consumers and operators.

“The cost-of-living increase that has occurred has to be reflected,” he explained.

“But I believe that this 50 percent increase is a start, and it is a situation that will be looked at on a forward-looking basis as we go forward. There will continue to be review, consultation, and discussion in this area.”

The minister also noted that telecom pricing is regulated to prevent arbitrary increases and the importance of dialogue and compromise in setting tariffs.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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NANS Threatens Nationwide Protests over 50 Percent Telecom Tariff Hike

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National Association of Nigerian Students (NANS) has condemned the recently approved 50 per cent increment in telecommunications tariffs by the Nigeria Communications Commission (NCC) and the Ministry of Communications, Digital Economy, describing it as not only abnormal but inconsiderate and unjustifiable.

NANS Threatens Nationwide Protests over 50 Percent Telecom Tariff Hike

NANS in a statement signed by Comrade Oladimeji Uthman, clerk of the Senate, National Headquarters, warned the NCC and the Ministry of Communications, Digital Economy to review the increment within 72 hours or risk a nationwide protest by over 40 million Nigerian students already going through untold hardships occasioned by rising inflation.

Comrade Uthman stated further, “This decision is not only abnormal but also highly inconsiderate and unjustifiable, especially in the current socio-economic climate that has placed an unbearable burden on Nigerian students and citizens.

“In an era where digital connectivity has become indispensable to education and daily life, such a steep increment will have far-reaching consequences for students. The proposed hike will escalate the cost of internet data and other telecommunication services, which are critical tools for learning, research, and academic activities.

“The harsh realities of Nigeria’s economic situation—marked by rising tuition fees, expensive transportation, increased accommodation costs, and general inflation—already weigh heavily on the shoulders of students and their families.”

NANS emphasised that adding a 50% tariff increment to these challenges amounts to an outright disregard for the welfare and progress of Nigerian students, saying that the association had over the year been at the forefront for affordable and inclusive access to digital infrastructure as a way to bridge the educational gap in Nigeria.

It stated that the NCC’s decision, if implemented, will further exacerbate the digital divide, excluding millions of students from accessing quality education and information as it raised concerns that the policy undermines the government’s commitment to youth development, innovation, and the digital economy agenda.

Considering the challenges faced by the telecommunications industry, including inflation and operational costs, NANS cautioned that the burden of these challenges should not be transferred to the masses, especially Nigerian students and urged the NCC and the Ministry of Digital Economy to explore alternative measures to address these issues without jeopardizing the affordability and accessibility of telecommunications services.

NANS explained further ,”As stakeholders in the future of this nation, we call for immediate dialogue with the NCC, the Ministry of Digital Economy, and relevant telecommunications stakeholders to discuss a fair and balanced approach that prioritizes the welfare of Nigerian students and citizens. We believe that together, we can find a sustainable solution that balances industry growth with public interest.

The statement added, “As the umbrella body of Nigerian students, NANS cannot sit idly by while policies detrimental to the collective interest of over 40 million Nigerian students are implemented without due consideration.

“We hereby issue a 72-hour ultimatum to the NCC to review this tariff increment and take decisive steps toward its reversal. Failure to heed this call will leave NANS with no other choice but to embark on a nationwide mass protest to demand justice and fairness for Nigerian students.

“We are prepared to mobilize all student leaders, unions, and organizations across the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory to peacefully demonstrate against this decision.”

It warned that the planned protests will not only demand the reversal of the tariff increment but also advocate for broader consultations with stakeholders before any future policies affecting the public are implemented, saying it remained committed to peaceful advocacy and dialogue as a means of resolving issues but with limited patience.

The review, which comes amid rising inflation and economic pressures, has elicited mixed reactions. While consumers have expressed affordability concerns, industry players see it as a long-overdue adjustment to sustain operations and improve service delivery.


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9mobile Pledges to Boost Service Quality, Customer Experience

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Telecommunications provider, 9mobile, has applauded the Federal Government and the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) for approving a 50% tariff adjustment—a vital initiative aimed at addressing persistent challenges in Nigeria’s telecom sector.

This decision, reached after extensive deliberations, marks a significant step towards ensuring the long-term sustainability of the industry by enabling the necessary investments to enhance service quality for consumers nationwide.

The telecom industry had previously advocated for a substantial tariff review to combat surging operational costs, driven by inflation, skyrocketing energy prices, and a currency devaluation exceeding 300%.

While the industry’s initial request called for a larger increase up to 100%, the NCC’s approval of a 50% adjustment represents a balanced approach to safeguarding affordability for consumers while addressing industry sustainability concerns.

Obafemi Banigbe, 9mobile’s CEO, emphasized that the tariff adjustment will enable telecom operators to reinvest in critical infrastructure upgrades and capacity expansion—both of which have been delayed due to financial constraints. “This tariff adjustment is timely and essential,” Banigbe stated.

“It allows operators to fulfill obligations and capital commitments necessary for future growth. Without this, the industry risked a decline in service quality due to insufficient funding. With this change, we are better positioned to drive innovation, growth, and enhanced connectivity for Nigerians.”

Banigbe further noted that the increase provides a much-needed boost for 9mobile’s ongoing business transformation. This includes modernizing network infrastructure, expanding coverage, and improving digital platforms for faster and more reliable connectivity. “This decision enables us to replace outdated equipment, expand our network to underserved areas, and enhance the overall customer experience,” he added.

The tariff adjustment is a strategic measure to bridge the funding gap exacerbated by rising operational expenses, many of which are denominated in foreign currency.

These challenges have strained telecom operators, limiting their ability to reinvest and driving up debt levels. The new pricing structure provides a pathway to financial stability while ensuring the delivery of top-tier services to millions of Nigerians.

Telecom operators have long advocated for market reflective pricing structure, highlighting its importance for industry sustainability. The approval of this tariff adjustment ensures that operators can balance affordability with the need to cover escalating costs and maintain quality services.

Reaffirming 9mobile’s commitment to the Nigerian market, Banigbe stated: “Our focus remains on investing in infrastructure that delivers reliable and innovative services to our esteemed customers. We are dedicated to empowering Nigerians through connectivity, expanding access, and supporting the nation’s vision of becoming a leading digital economy in Africa.”

With this development, 9mobile is poised to further strengthen its reputation as a customer-centric, quality-focused service provider, ensuring that Nigerians remain connected and empowered in an increasingly digital world.


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