E-Financial
Nigeria Monetary Policy Makers Balk at Rising Inflation
By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM,
In January, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) decided to hold the lending interest rate at 13.5 percent and significantly increase the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) from 22.5 percent to 27.5 percent. Far from following the global easing trend, the CBN is taking steps to tighten monetary policy.
The decision follows a worrying rise in inflation in December. Inflation rose to 11.98 percent, meaning that day-to-day living is becoming more expensive as prices for goods and services rise.
Part of the added inflationary pressures are because of border closures and food shortage fears.
On a long-term basis, the Naira’s softness feeds into the dam of rising inflation.
Despite the threat of higher inflation, the CBN has ruled out devaluing the Naira. Policy makers could have a point here. An even weaker local currency may trigger worse consequences. The overflowing dam could break and hyperinflation – a nightmare scenario for any emerging economy – could flood the economy.
The central bank’s reasoning for avoiding an official devaluation is that it holds ample foreign reserves to back the Naira’s value. Policy makers are also banking on rising Oil prices to shore up the $38.6 billion in foreign reserves, at the time of writing. The CBN brushed off the steep drop in foreign reserves from $42 billion to $38 billion in the last months of 2019, pointing out that fluctuations are normal.
Unpredictable CBN policy may impact banking sector
Less liquidity in the market might alleviate rising inflation but on the other hand, it could add to everyday economic pressures. A combination of high interest rates and less liquidity could squeeze corporate budgets, possibly leading to job losses and lower investment in development, not to mention increasing the chances of debt defaults. This may impact the stability of the banking sector in the medium-to-long term.
Fiscal deficit projected to widen
On the monetary policy side, higher Oil prices are pulling in more foreign reserves. But as Oil prices rise, so do fuel subsidies paid by the state, creating a precarious fiscal situation. Nigeria is now set to borrow N1.59 trillion to fund the 2020 budget and the government has increased VAT to 7.5 percent from five percent to boost tax revenues.
External threats pose significant risks to Nigeria’s recovery
Other pressures bearing down on Nigeria’s economy stem from the US-China trade war which is frozen at the moment but could heat up at any time.
The central trading issues for Nigeria in this situation are China’s economic health – China and Nigeria are strong trading partners – and the health of the global economy. If the global economy slows down further, demand for Oil would likely weaken and prices could experience more softness in the near term.
The economic costs of the coronavirus outbreak to Nigeria’s economy must not be overlooked. China is Nigeria’s largest trading partner with total trade hitting $3.25 billion during the third quarter of 2019. If the virus outbreak in China results in slower economic growth, the spillover effect is likely to be felt in Nigeria as trade falls.
The other major international shift is the Brexit process. The UK’s withdrawal plan from the EU has been approved by European and UK-based legislatures. Although the UK officially leaves the EU on January 31, over the next year trade agreements will stay as they are. After that, there is considerable uncertainty over the status of trade deals agreed with the UK through the EU.
As a start, the UK-Africa Investment Summit promises a way forward for future trade deals direct with UK partners. Four British companies signed deals with Nigeria for street lighting, airport control towers and smart metering. The question is whether this momentum can be maintained now that the UK has so many trade deals to put in place with the EU, US and China. On top of that, Nigeria’s trade relations with the UK are now separate from those with the EU, meaning that the UK’s negotiating power and economies of scale are considerably reduced.
In conclusion, Nigeria’s fiscal and monetary policy makers face a difficult economic landscape. The mountain of uncertainty around the US-China trade disputes; the quicksand of the Brexit process; economics impacts of the coronavirus and the rising tide of inflation.
Could the next step be for the CBN to raise interest rates? Amid the current uncertainty, nothing can be ruled out but the impact of stiffer borrowing rates would likely pressure economic growth. With GDP on a growth trajectory, this would add to Nigeria’s economic headwinds.
E-Financial
EFCC Says Nigerian Banks are Notorious Conduits of Financial Crimes
Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) has warned banks against making themselves available as instruments of fraud.
Ola Olukoyede, charman, EFCC, issued the warning on Friday when the management team of Moniepoint, led by Tosin Eniolorunda, its founder and Group CEO, paid a courtesy visit to the commission’s headquarters in Abuja.
Speaking through Michael Nzekwe, his chief of staff, the EFCC boss noted that Nigerian banks over the years have become notorious as conduits of financial crimes and advised them to turn a new leaf for the sake of the growth of the country.
“There’s hardly any financial crime that would not go through the financial institutions. Money laundering is a major issue and you find out also that the perpetrators go through the banks. Nigeria will be the greatest beneficiary when we do the right thing,” he said.
Addressing the Moniepoint delegation, Olukoyede said, “Try as much as possible on your own to avoid any form of connivance and don’t be a channel for money
“Don’t be a tool. Don’t make your system porous. You are a major stakeholder when it comes to the fight against corruption. We are open and would assist, however we can. No one is above the law”.
Olukoyede observed that there was a high level of poor internal control by fintechs at the level of the unbanked, the under-served and the middle class population spectrum.
“There’s quite a whole lot of fraud that goes around that particular level, so the issue of KYC (Know Your Customer) is very important, especially because of the issue of how fintechs open tier-one accounts, sometimes without attention to KYC.
“And people take advantage of this and are quick to commit fraud through this negligence. So, that’s one area you have to also look at to see how you can improve on your KYC.
“Increasing your level of collaboration with the EFCC would mean to see yourselves as stakeholders in the fight against corruption.
“We would like you to be able to respond to us when we make inquiries and when we make requests.
On EFCC’s readiness to collaborate with Moniepoint, Olukoyede stated that, “On our part, we are open to whatever it is that you want us to do. We value it that you are here today to seek a stronger tie and collaboration.
“When we have stakeholders come in and want to be part of what we are doing, majorly stakeholders like you, it gives us joy because we know that no one man can fight corruption alone.
“The collaboration you seek tells us that you want to strengthen your system; you want to be able to create more internal controls. You want to be able to put in place things that will mitigate those weaknesses that will lead to fraud within your system, that’s what we do. Our core mandate is enforcement and investigation of economic and financial crimes. So, we’re glad and wish to collaborate with you”
Earlier in his remarks, Eniolorunda noted that the expansion in the operations and services of the fintech and microfinance company have come with challenges which have made the need for a strategic collaboration with the EFCC compelling.
“Moniepoint has over the years grown to become one of Nigeria’s largest payment service providers and the bank for mostly mid-class businesses and the under-served.
“Today, Moniepoint processes roughly 70% of Nigeria’s payments on Point-of-Sale (PoS) and transfers. We are present also in the UK and we are going through some potential set-up also in Kenya, which is at an advanced stage with its Central Bank. And also in Tanzania.
“Of course, with all this growth comes also challenges. One of the biggest challenges is the nature of our country, where if people find the opportunity to make fast money, they will make fast money. And we have realised that as Moniepoint is helping people make ends meet, these sorts of people are also trying to use Moniepoint channels to achieve their criminal objectives.
“So, we are actively fighting, improving all the necessary KYC accounts, money laundering and fund protection systems, but we know that we can’t do this alone. There are experts in a government organisation like the EFCC that we believe we need to have a strategic relationship with to be able to fight these people together.
“There are intels that you see that we don’t see. There are many things that come across your desk, every day that we don’t see. There are also things that we see that we think that if we should show to you, we will all be able to come together and fight these bad guys. We have, over the years improved on many things; discover a lot of potential fraud, collaborated with law enforcement agencies.
“With our whole management team, we will be able to find a strategic partnership with the EFCC that would take us to the next level.
“So we need to quickly build stronger alliances to prevent any form of risks that will blossom into national security issue,” he said.
E-Financial
N159m Up for Grabs in Fidelity Bank’s GAIM 6 Promo
Fidelity Bank Plc, leading financial institution has announced that it will be giving out N159 million to lucky customers in its recently launched Get Alerts in Millions Season 6, (GAIM 6) promo.
Speaking at the press conference to kick off the promo at the bank’s Lagos head office, Executive Director, Lagos & South-West, Fidelity Bank Plc and the Promo Committee Chairman, Dr Ken Opara, said that the aim of the promo was to build a culture of financial discipline and enable the bank’s customers improve their standard of living, achieve their goals, and secure a brighter future for themselves and their families.
He said, “Over the years, we’ve seen firsthand how GAIM has transformed lives by helping customers pay off debts, fund their children’s education, start-up businesses, and invest in projects.
“These stories of the transformative power of GAIM in the lives of our customers, motivated us to raise the stakes with each new season, and I am excited to share that GAIM 6 will feature an even larger prize pool with over N159 million in cash prizes.
“As a Bank, we remain committed to ensuring this season is bigger and better than ever. In the coming months, we will provide additional updates through roadshows and community outreaches, and we encourage you to join us in spreading the word and inviting your friends and family to be a part of this initiative.
“While GAIM provides an opportunity to win numerous cash prizes, it is important to state that GAIM is not just about winning prizes. It’s about changing the financial fortunes of our customers, strengthening communities and contributing to the country’s economic growth.
“The financial advisory services we offer to our winners are an essential part of providing key insights that help our winners preserve and grow their earnings in a sustainable manner.”
To participate in the promo, Osita Ede, Divisional Head, Product Development, Fidelity Bank Plc said, “The customer needs to have a savings account with Fidelity Bank, and make sure that from today, that you’re putting money in that account.
“And once your balance is increasing, every N5000 you put in, you qualify for the basic rewards, the ones that happen quarterly, the N10,000.But for the N1 million rewards you need to have at least a minimum of 10,000 naira.
“Every 10,000 Naira in your account gives you a ticket. With that ticket, you stand a chance of winning N1 million naira every month.
“We have 10 winners emerging every month with N1 million naira each. So, for the period of nine months, that’s 90 customers getting N1 million naira each.”
Ranked as one of the best banks in Nigeria, Fidelity Bank is a full-fledged commercial bank with over 8.3 million customers serviced across its 251 business offices in Nigeria and the United Kingdom as well as on digital banking channels.
The bank has won multiple local and international awards including the Export Financing Bank of the Year and Excellence in Digital Transformation & MSME Banking at the 2024 BusinessDay Banks and Other Financial Institutions (BAFI) Awards; the Best Payment Solution Provider Nigeria 2023 and Best SME Bank Nigeria 2022 by the Global Banking and Finance Awards; Best Bank for SMEs in Nigeria by the Euromoney Awards for Excellence 2023; and Best Domestic Private Bank in Nigeria by the Euromoney Global Private Banking Awards 2023.
E-Financial
Africa Processed 49Bn Transactions in 2023 – SIIPS Report
The SIIPS Report which offers valuable insights into the opportunities and challenges facing Africa’s digital payment systems has said that 2023 was a landmark year, with 49 billion transactions processed across the continent—the highest volume recorded to date.
This staggering number underscores a broader trend: the shift towards digital, fast, and efficient payments is becoming a cornerstone of Africa’s economic growth.
The SIIPS Report 2024, launched in Accra on Thursday, showcases the remarkable growth of Instant Payment Systems (IPS) across Africa, emphasizing their role in advancing financial inclusion.
With 31 operational IPS in 26 countries and another 27 on the way, the report reveals a 37% growth in transaction volume over five years.
While digital payment adoption surges, barriers remain for vulnerable groups, especially women, who face security and fraud concerns.
Despite progress, no system has fully achieved inclusive access, affordability, or transparency.
The report emphasizes the need for collective efforts to expand IPS, particularly in rural areas, to ensure universal financial inclusion by 2030.
Supported by partners like the World Bank and UNECA, the SIIPS Report offers valuable insights into the opportunities and challenges facing Africa’s digital payment systems, calling for innovation and regulatory support to achieve seamless, cross-border payments across the continent.
More importantly, the total value transacted surged at a remarkable average annual growth rate of 39% from 2019 to 2023, reaching over $1 trillion last year.
Such figures highlight Africa’s increasing reliance on digital financial systems and indicate a seismic shift in how money moves.
- E-Financial2 days ago
EFCC Says Nigerian Banks are Notorious Conduits of Financial Crimes
- Telecom2 days ago
NASENI Retreat Focuses on Aligning Development Institutes’ Goals
- E-Business3 days ago
NDPC to Begin Prosecution of Data Privacy Offenders from 2025
- E-Business3 days ago
Nigeria, Others Confront Flood of Cyber-Attacks
- E-Business3 days ago
NITDA Alerts Businesses to Rising Ymir Ransomware Threat
- Telecom3 days ago
IHS Nigeria Partners with the NCMM to Digitize Nigeria’s Cultural Heritage
- News2 days ago
TEDxPAU 2024: Exploring New Possibilities and Shaping Tomorrow
- News2 days ago
Head of Civil Service Celebrates 100 Days in Office with the Launch of Galaxy Backbone’s “Govmail”