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Market Chaos Intensifies as Coronavirus Spreads Economic Gloom

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By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM,

Things just got even worse for financial markets as rising panic surrounding the coronavirus pandemic pummeled equities across the globe.

Market Chaos Intensifies as Coronavirus Spreads Economic Gloom

Asian shares continued the global slump on Friday plunging deeper into the abyss, while European markets posted their worst one-day drop in history yesterday. Overnight, the sell-off on Wall Street was so severe that the Dow and S&P 500 experienced their biggest one-day declines since 1987, after triggering circuit breakers for only the second time in one week.

Markets are highly volatile with Trump’s travel ban on 26 European countries clearly adding more fuel to the fire, now global stocks are ablaze. It seems the ongoing uncertainty from the coronavirus outbreak is set to continue burning the outlook for the global economy.

What is more alarming is that these gut-wrenching declines across stocks have come despite emergency action by the Federal Reserve, Bank of England and European Central Bank to rescue markets. There seems to be little faith over the effectiveness of monetary policy shielding the economy from the impact of the coronavirus, with fiscal measures seen as a better alternative in stabilising conditions.

Markets currently remain in panic mode with risk aversion the dominant theme. Equities across the globe are likely to remain severely depressed amid the darkening mood, with safe-haven assets like the Dollar and Japanese Yen, the best destinations for safety.

Dollar regains mojo as investors rush to safety

King Dollar stood tall against every single G10 currency on Thursday, as investors sprinted towards the world’s most liquid currency amid the market meltdown.

A sense of disappointment with the government’s response to the rising infections in the United States is fostering caution and unease. The jump in risk aversion is boosting appetite for the Dollar, despite expectations around the Fed announcing more interest rate cuts, with around 100bp now priced in over the next week.

Focusing on the technical picture, the Dollar Index has staged an incredible rebound on the daily charts with prices trading around 97.50, as of writing. A solid daily close above this level could re-open the doors back towards 98.30. However, should 97.50 prove to be reliable resistance, prices could sink back towards 97.00.

Commodity spotlight – Gold

Not even safe-haven Gold has escaped the brutal market sell-off, as the pandemic panic sweeping global equities forced investors to cover margin calls.

The precious metal has depreciated over 5% this week despite the market chaos, which puts it on track for its biggest weekly loss since 2011. An appreciating Dollar also added to the pain with prices trading around $1591, as of writing.

Focusing on the technical picture, prices are bearish with sustained weakness below $1600 opening the doors towards $1555. If bulls are able to secure a weekly close above $1600, the next key level of interest will be found at $1620.

 


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E-Financial

SEC to Strengthen Borrowing Framework for Governments, Corporates

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The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has pledged to enhance its regulatory framework for borrowing by government entities and corporate organizations.

Emomotimi Agama, Director General of SEC, revealed this in an interview, where he emphasized the pivotal role borrowing plays in sustaining the financial system and fostering economic growth.

He highlighted the need for strategic management of resources, particularly in light of the Supreme Court’s recent ruling mandating direct federal allocations to Nigeria’s 774 local government areas.

Agama stated, “Improving the framework for borrowing is very important because borrowing is part of the financial system, and we can only make much of the move we want to make if there is enough funding.

“Hence, we want to ensure sustainability in both government borrowing, especially for municipal and state governments, given the new Supreme Court order regarding local government allocations.”

He further stressed the importance of structured borrowing in supporting development across sectors. For corporate organizations, the SEC DG noted that the Commission is revolutionizing the landscape with the introduction of new rules on Central Counter Parties (CCPs).

“As a Commission, we have established those new rules, and they will become operational in 2025. Our aim is to make borrowing a seamless and effortless process for Nigerian companies,” he said.

Agama added that SEC was also committed to diversifying the Nigerian capital market, which had long been dominated by a mono-product focus. He disclosed plans to introduce derivatives trading in 2025, supported by enabling laws and regulations to foster growth and confidence.

“To build confidence in derivatives trading, we aim to provide clear exemptions for these transactions from general insolvency laws, creating a safer and more predictable trading environment. By doing this, we hope to attract more players and provide new opportunities for every Nigerian,” Agama concluded.

The SEC reiterated its commitment to creating a safer and more robust trading environment to strengthen the Nigerian capital market and support sustainable economic development.


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GTCO Completes First Phase of Capital Raise Initiative with N209bn

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Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc (“GTCO Plc” or the “Group”) (NGX: GTCO) has successfully completed the first tranche of its equity capital raise programme, following the completion of the capital verification exercise conducted by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the approval of the Basis of Allotment of the Offer by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

The Offer, which garnered substantial interest from domestic retail investors, raised a total of N209.41 billion from 130,617 valid applications for 4,705,800,290 ordinary shares, fully allotted.

This milestone concludes the first phase of GTCO’s phased equity capital raise programme, which is structured on a balanced allocation strategy based on an equal split between institutional and retail investors.

This balanced approach aligns with GTCO Plc’s commitment to fostering a well-diversified and robust investor base.

Commenting on this phase of the recapitalisation exercise, Segun Agbaje, Group Chief Executive Officer of GTCO Plc, expressed his gratitude, saying:

“We extenour sincere appreciation to our new and existing shareholders, as well as the regulatory authorities, for their unwavering support during this initial phase of our equity capital raise.

“The strong participation and successful capital verification exercise and allotment process reaffirm the confidence investors have in our fundamentals and execution capabilities.

This sets a solid foundation for accelerating our strategic roadmap, which aims to pivot the Group for transformational growth and unlock greater value across the Group’s Banking and NonBanking businesses.” GTCO Plc continues to lead its peers in key profitability metrics and financial performance.

Building on this successful first phase, the Group will commence the second phase of its recapitalisation plan in 2025, which is strategically positioned to attract significant foreign institutional investments, reinforcing its reputation as a “Truly International” financial services brand.

Proceeds from the combined equity raise will be strategically deployed to recapitalise the Group’s flagship subsidiary, Guaranty Trust Bank Limited (GTBank Nigeria), enhancing its ability to meet regulatory requirements and further solidify its position as a leading financial institution.

Additionally, the funds will support Group-wide growth initiatives, including footprint expansion, product enhancement, and innovation across both Banking and Non-Banking subsidiaries.

GTCO remains committed to delivering sustainable value to its stakeholders and driving innovation across the financial services landscape in Africa.


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UBA Ranks Among Top 5 Banks in KPMG 2024 Customer Experience Survey

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Africa’s Global Bank, United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, has cemented its position as a leading customer-centric institution, emerging among the Top 5 banks, in various survey’s segmentation, in the recently released KPMG 2024 West Africa Banking Industry Customer Experience Survey.

The survey showed that the bank earned an impressive second place in SME Banking as well as a third place in Retail Banking, marking a significant leap in rankings that highlights UBA’s transformation under its Customer First (C1st) philosophy.

Africa’s Global Bank, United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, has cemented its position as a leading customer-centric institution, emerging among the Top 5 banks, in various survey’s segmentation, in the recently released KPMG 2024 West Africa Banking Industry Customer Experience Survey.

The survey showed that the bank earned an impressive second place in SME Banking as well as a third place in Retail Banking, marking a significant leap in rankings that highlights UBA’s transformation under its Customer First (C1st) philosophy.

The survey results showcase UBA’s remarkable transformation in customer experience over the past year. For instance, in Retail Banking, the bank rose to third place up from the14th place recorded in 2023, while in SME Banking, it jumped to second position up from 6th place last year.

The bank also made notable progress in Corporate Banking, climbing to fourth place from 8th in 2023. These milestones underscore the bank’s ability to consistently exceed customer expectations and deliver unmatched service across all its business segments.

Speaking on the achievement, UBA’s Group Managing Director/CEO, Oliver Alawuba, said: “This recognition is a testament to our ability to turn aspirations into achievements and challenges into victories. At the heart of this success lies our unwavering commitment to the Customer First (C1st) philosophy. It is not just a slogan but the essence of who we are. Through C1st, we’ve redefined customer satisfaction, delivered value, and earned the trust and loyalty of our clients.”

Alawuba who credited UBA’s success to the dedication of its employees, said, “From retail branches to corporate offices, from technology teams to front-line staff, every effort contributed to this extraordinary transformation. I extend my heartfelt gratitude to our exceptional team for making this possible.”

According to the GMD, UBA has for several years, placed its customers at the centre of its operations, guided by its six pillars of Customer Experience: including Integrity- Building trust through honesty; Resolution- Promptly addressing customer concerns; Expectations-Anticipating and exceeding customer needs; Time and Effort- Simplifying processes to save time; Empathy- Demonstrating genuine care and understanding as well as Personalisation- Delivering tailored solutions.

He added that these principles have reshaped how UBA connects with its customers, fostering trust and deepening loyalty across its diverse markets.

While celebrating this milestone, the GMD disclosed that UBA remains committed to becoming the undisputed number one across all segments, adding that the bank aims to achieve this through deepened customer relationships, strengthened processes, and continuous innovation.

“The world of banking is evolving rapidly, and customer expectations are at an all-time high. To lead in this dynamic landscape, we must stay agile, innovative, and unwavering in our commitment to excellent service. Together, we will set new benchmarks and deliver unparalleled value to our customers,” he stated.

United Bank for Africa is one of the largest employers in the financial sector on the African continent, with 25,000 employees group wide and serving over 45 million customers globally. Operating in twenty African countries and the United Kingdom, the United States of America, France and the United Arab Emirates, UBA provides retail, commercial and institutional banking services, leading financial inclusion and implementing cutting edge technology.


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