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Deloitte: Nigerian Cyber Security Outlook 2015

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Our 2014 cyber security outlook was an eye-opener into the Nigerian cyberspace as all the predictions made were accurate.

2015 must therefore not be underestimated as the seeming deduction is that the hackers are always one step ahead; this is a gap that must be bridged

31,536,000; the number of seconds that made up the year 2014. Around the world, each second was used effectively by hackers in planning attacks and exploiting vulnerable people, systems and processes.

Brazen attacks unlike anything we have ever witnessed before were carried out and from all indications, 2015 is likely to be another roller coaster ride.

From the reported hack on the US retail giant (Target), to the Sony pictures entertainment security breach, there is a growing trend in terms of bravado on the part of hackers.

In 2014, the National Assembly of Nigeria made a bold move in the war against cybercrime when the Senate passed the Cybercrime Bill.

This feat in addition to the cyber security strategy and policy documents introduced by the Office of the National Security Adviser (NSA) are attributes that define 2014 as the year of the awakening.

With each cyber-attack, companies lose millions, trust by consumers get eroded and a trove of confidential information are published.

In 2015, we are expecting newspaper front-page headlines to include issues around cyber security incidents.

The year will witness an increase in cyber security issues that may likely reduce towards the last quarter.

However, the reduction will only be based on a successful implementation of the Bank Verification Number (BVN) and electronic ID by the National Identity Management Committee (NIMC).

Our 2014 cyber security outlook was an eye-opener into the Nigerian cyberspace as all the predictions made were accurate.

2015 must therefore not be underestimated as the seeming deduction is that the hackers are always one step ahead; this is a gap that must be bridged.

Based on current events in both social and economic realms in Nigeria, we have reviewed below some of the cyber security trends and threats that are likely to be significant in 2015.

Phishing And Insider Threats will continue to be biggest cyber threat sources in Nigeria especially as crude oil prices continue to fall:

Phishing is a form of social engineering that attempts to acquire sensitive information such as usernames, passwords, and ATM card details (and sometimes, indirectly, money) by masquerading as a trustworthy entity in an electronic communication.

Phishing is a continual threat that keeps growing to this day. The risk grows even larger in social media such as Facebook, Twitter, Myspace etc.

An Insider threat is a malicious threat to an organization that comes from people within the organization, such as employees, former employees, contractors or business associates, who have insider information concerning the organization’s security practices, data and computer systems.

As companies take austerity measures such as downsizing and salary slashing due to the falling crude oil prices and the devaluation of the naira, there is a higher risk that employees, former employees or contractors result to cybercrime as a means to maintain their standard of living.

We are likely going to see an unprecedented rise in attacks from disgruntled employees.

The cybercrime of choice by majority of the Nigerian cyber criminals would be via social engineering.

Intelligently crafted phishing emails and phone calls to naïve customers will increase.

Socially And Politically Motivated Cyber-Attacks:

With the coming elections in 2015, there may be an increase in the cyber-attack of the websites and information technology (IT) infrastructure of political organisations and public institutions possibly as a means of expressing grievances.

Nigeria witnessed a similar occurrence during the socio-political protest movement of January 2012 in response to the fuel subsidy removal by the Federal Government.

These attacks could be in form of denial of service attacks and website defacements.

Also, there is the potential for increased numbers in local hacker groups to further their agenda by compromising or attacking Government-owned infrastructure.

As such, this is a call to all stakeholders concerned to put the necessary security measures in their cyber infrastructure.

Prosecution Of Cyber Related Crimes Is Likely To Experience A Major Boost:

With the passage of the cybercrime bill by the Senate, organisations will now have legal basis for prosecuting cybercrime once it is signed into law.

Organizations can put measures in place to track down cyber criminals.

We are likely to see more collaboration between organizations in tackling cybercrime as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) drives the Nigerian e-Fraud Forum (NeFF) – where banks meet to share experiences on fraud and mitigating factors.

The sharing of cyber security intelligence in the financial sector is expected to grow in 2015 and would serve as a model for other areas of the economy.

From the just concluded annual Deloitte Chief Information Security Officer roundtable event in December 2014, there was a recurring theme of cyber security intelligence sharing as a win-win way to tackle cybercrime and be steps ahead of the hacker.

This will also boost efforts in tracking and prosecuting cyber criminals.

Outsourcing Of Information Security Function:

With the shortage of security specialist skills in many companies, the ever-changing threat landscape and the need for 24/7 monitoring and response on certain technological platform especially in Financial Institutions and telecom companies, organizations will need to continually invest more in implementing additional security infrastructure, security training for their personnel and active recruitment for currently skilled professionals.

And with prudency in budgeting for organizations, more companies will consider outsourcing their information security function as a more viable option.

Increased Compliance Costs In Non-Financial Sectors:

In 2015, we are likely to see new sets of compliance regulations for industries with connection to the financial sector.

Though the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has regulated the financial services industry with a variety of compliance rules in 2014, we are likely to see talks or nascent development stages of information security compliance standards for other areas of the economy.

There will be an increase in the cost of compliance as regulators may require organizations to comply with new regulations, with repercussions for defaulting.

Also with the adoption of the COBIT5 framework by Nigeria, other sectors will soon need to have security policies that align with leading frameworks and standards.

Senior Level Executives Will Be Held More Accountable And Possibly Fired For Security Breaches:

We are likely to see executive dismissals as a direct result of security breaches.

Senior level executives will be held more accountable and possibly fired for security breaches if adequate measures are not in place.

More so, if the brand of an organization suffers to recover in time as a result of a security breach, Chief Information Security Officers and Chief Information Officers will come under serious ‘fire’ from the board and top executives as they struggle to cope with incessant attacks on their networks.

According to a report by Gartner, “through 2016, 75% of CISO’s who experience publicly disclosed security breaches and lack documented, tested response plans will be fired.”

The unending battle in cyberspace calls for a more proactive, predictive and robust system that can match tools and techniques used by cyber criminals.

Organizations need to ensure they increase vigilance of their assets, learn from previous mistakes and deploy appropriate countermeasures in order to survive in 2015.

I wish you a cyber-secure New Year.

Tope is the Head, Cyber Risk Services at Deloitte Nigeria. He currently leads the largest team of information security consultants in Nigeria. Tope has significant security consulting, project management and auditing experience and has served several organizations in Nigeria, Togo, Ghana, South Africa, Cameroon and UK. He has experience performing IT advisory and assurance services to 85% of the commercial banks in Nigeria and over 30% of the companies quoted on The Nigerian Stock Exchange.

 


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Nvidia Loses over $500Bn in Market Value amid DeepSeek’s Rise

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Nvidia, world leader in accelerated computing, lost about $589 billion of its market value on Monday amid rise in DeepSeek.

Nvidia Loses over $500Bn in Market Value amid DeepSeek’s Rise

DeepSeek, a private Chinese company founded in July 2023 by Liang Wenfeng, is an open-source large language model that relies on what is known as “inference-time computing,” meaning “they activate only the most relevant portions of their model for each query, and that saves money and computation power”

Nvidia, on the other hand provides a variety of products and services, including GPUs, AI software, and cloud gaming.

According to Bloomberg, the loss was driven by the company’s shares plummeting by 17 percent during midday trading on Wall Street.

The steep decline reverberated across global markets due to Nvidia’s substantial influence on major indices.

In the United States, the S&P 500 fell by 2.3 percent, while the Nasdaq 100 dropped 3.6 percent.

European markets were similarly affected, with Frankfurt and Paris stock exchanges closing in the red, while London finished flat and Asian stock markets recorded losses.

Technology giants like Microsoft and Alphabet, the parent company of Google, also saw their shares decline, however, Meta managed to buck the trend, trading in the green.

Nvidia has been a major beneficiary of the influx in spending on artificial intelligence (AI) because of the company’s semiconductors, which are essential for AI technologies to work efficiently.

 

However, the publication said the recent emergence of DeepSeek, a Chinese chatbot platform, appears to have shaken up the AI industry.

DeepSeek recently overtook ChatGPT as the top-rated free app on Apple’s US app store.

In 2022, the US imposed restrictions to limit exports of advanced GPU chips to China.

However, DeepSeek’s researchers claimed they trained their latest model on Nvidia’s H800 chips.

The training was approximately $6 million, which is a fraction of the usual expense for developing high-end AI systems.

DeepSeek’s breakthrough in the AI industry comes as the US intensifies its efforts to maintain dominance in the field with the unveiling of the Stargate Project.

The Project, which was announced by President Donald Trump, is a strategic collaboration between Oracle, Japan’s SoftBank, and OpenAI, the creators of ChatGPT.

OpenAI stated that the initiative would strengthen US AI capabilities, create thousands of jobs, and enhance national security.


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Mobile App Usage to Drop By 25 Percent on AI Assistants- Study

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By 2027 mobile app usage will decrease by 25 per cent due to AI assistants, according to Gartner, Inc. Smartphone users will turn to AI assistants, such as Apple Intelligence, ChatGPT, Google Gemini, Meta AI, and others to replace apps for many functions.

Mobile App Usage to Drop By 25 Percent on AI Assistants- Study

In addition to the impact of AI assistants, apps will be consolidated across separate brands and companies, creating mobile app partnerships or consortiums to reach more users per app at scale and defray the cost of creation and maintenance.

“CMOs should begin scenario planning for the impacts of decreased mobile app usage,” said Emily Weiss, senior principal for the Gartner Marketing Practice.

“Brands with low app engagement and retention will likely be first impacted – this will be a positive development for brands that are not overly reliant on driving revenue via apps as app development costs will decrease.

Other brands may be severely impacted by the disintermediation of users turning to AI assistants for services.

The loss of app users will also result in the loss of first-party data collection and the ability to reach fewer users via mobile push notifications,” she added.

By 2026, over 1/3 of web content will be created for the purposes of Gen-AI powered search.

According to Gartner’s 2024 CMO Spend Survey of 395 respondents between February and March 2024, the average CMO allocated almost a quarter of their digital marketing budget to search.

Other than end users directly visiting a website, search currently drives more traffic to the average commercial enterprise website than any other referral source.

Given this, a loss of search driven traffic due to algorithmic shifts by major search engines would result in tangible, negative commercial impact to any organisation.

“CMOs will need to direct their teams to hire talent with a strong understanding of how GenAI, and broader AI influences, impacts the performance of their content in search algorithms,” said Weiss.

“It will be important to upskill the function by investing in search and content talent with AI skillsets. These associates will need to have familiarity with creating or optimising content to train and rank within evolving search algorithms,” Weiss added.

By 2028 digital marketers will move 30 per cent of their paid social budget to support advertising and partnerships on subscription-based channels.

It is becoming more challenging for CMOs to maintain, let alone grow, their reach and engagement among consumers.

This is especially true as consumers shift their tech and media behaviors away from social media, to other platforms and subscription based channels.

Gartner’s 2024 CMO Spend survey found that since 2022, paid social has maintained the highest budget allocation for all digital media spend.

In 2024, B2C Marketing leaders reported allocating 14.3 per cent for their digital channel budget to social media advertising (an increase from 12.3% in 2023).

“Closed group communities and subscription channels offer a potential alternative for social media weary consumers and content creators who want to do more than feed the algorithm,” said Weiss.

“Brands can leverage closed-group subscription channels – such as Substack, Patreon, and Discord – and the professional creators on them to reach relevant target audiences who are already engaging with content they self-selected into consuming.”

By 2027, 85 per cent of customer data will be xollected from automated interactions or those led by AI agents. Current AI models, such as large language models (LLMs), lack the agency to autonomously execute tasks and adapt in complex environments.

However, as new levels of intelligence are added, new AI agents are poised to quickly become more capable and reliable as brands seek to address customer facing use cases.

“There will be more AI agents than people, so while current approaches require humans in the loop, this idea will quickly become antiquated.

“Marketers will need to determine when and how they can trust AI agents to act on behalf of the brand and customers across key areas,” said Weiss.

 

 


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NIMC Trains 388 Personnel to Boost NIN Enrolment

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National Identity Management Commission (NIMC) has kicked off a three-day training program for 388 personnel aimed at enhancing the National Identification Number (NIN) enrolment process across the country.

NIMC Trains 388 Personnel to Boost NIN Enrolment

The training, tagged “Refresher Training of Trainers on NIN Integration to the National Social Register: Technical and hands-on devices and field operations and procedures”, is in collaboration with the National Social Safety-Net Coordinating Office.

The training is also to equip personnel with the necessary skills to efficiently handle the complexities of enrolment processes

In her address at the event held in Port Harcourt on Monday, Abisoye Coker-Odusote, director-general and chief executive officer, NIMC, noted that the initiative aligns with the commission’s overarching goal of achieving secured and great success for the Renewed Hope social initiatives.

Represented by Adedapo Adedoyin, her technical advisor on ICT, the NIMC DG said the event is a pivotal initiative that marks a significant step forward in our mission to enhance and modernize the National Identification Number enrolment process across Nigeria.

She stated, “Today, I am pleased to announce the launch of a comprehensive training program aimed at refreshing the technical and operational skills of the National Social Safety-Net Coordinating Office State Operations Coordinating Unit and NIMC staff.

“This initiative focuses on practical and field-based exercises, ensuring that our teams are well-equipped to handle the complexities of enrolment processes with precision and efficiency.

“This initiative aligns with our overarching goal of achieving secured and great success for the Renewed Hope social initiatives. Through verified digital identification, we aim to improve the lives of Nigerians by providing them with access to essential services and opportunities that require a reliable and secure identity verification system”.

Coker-Odusote explained that the training program will be conducted in two batches, encompassing four states: Kwara, Nasarawa, Kano, and Rivers. A total of 388 attendees will participate in this initiative, including 225 NASSCO State Operations Coordinating Unit representatives, 35 NIMC facilitators, and 128 State support staff.

She added, “The sessions are meticulously designed to foster knowledge sharing and hands-on experience with NIMC’s enrolment device and software, ensuring that our personnel are adept at using these tools to their full potential.

“By empowering our teams with enhanced skills and practical experience, we are setting the stage for more efficient and accurate NIN enrolment processes across the nation”.

Coker-Odusote further said the training program “is a crucial step toward achieving the World Bank’s Identification for Development Initiative target of enrolling 180 million Nigerians with secure digital IDs.

“By bolstering our technical and operational capabilities, we are ensuring that NIMC is well-positioned to meet and exceed this target, thereby contributing to the global vision of inclusive and accessible digital identification for all”.

The NIMC boss8 called for collaboration between all stakeholders saying, “As we embark on this journey, I urge all participants to embrace this opportunity for growth and development.

“Together, we can build a robust and efficient National Identification System that will serve as the cornerstone for Nigeria’s social and economic progress.”

 


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