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E-Financial

Emerging market currencies pressured, but Naira stable

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by Hussein Sayed

The Naira has entered the trading week on a firm footing despite a stabilizing Dollar and global trade tensions pressuring emerging market currencies. There is a suspicion that the Naira’s stability could be based on continual intervention from the Central Bank of Nigeria. June was certainly a cruel trading month for emerging market currencies and this negativity could roll over into July if escalating trade tensions weigh on sentiment and erode risk appetite. It will be interesting to see if the Naira is able to maintain its stability at a time where trade war fears and prospects of higher US interest rates have triggered capital outflows from emerging markets.

Recession fears escalate as trade war heats up

It has been an interesting first half for2018. Economic fundamentals and politics took center stage as both fought for market influence. The Federal Reserve is in tightening mode as growth and inflation trended higher, while the trade war between the US and the rest of the world particularly with China and the EU intensified further. In parallel to these events the US administration provided massive stimulus to an economy that is already near full employment which led to further strengthening of the USDollar.

 

Looking at the big picture, strong economic growth in the US, despite signs of softening elsewhere, provided support for equities. However, geopolitical uncertainty and protectionism remained the key downside risk. We think that we’re in the late stage of the current economic cycle, but there are no signs of a recession yet. In such economic conditions equity investors should be more cautious when investing. A more selective approach is needed as valuations are likely to be further challenged in the months ahead as volatility is further elevated.

 

Given that inflation will be a key factor driving monetary policies in the second half of 2018, investors need to keep a close eye on Oil prices. The decision by OPEC and non-OPEC members to raise crude supplies by about one million barrels starting from 1 July was considered a negative factor for Oil prices. However, the rise in supply from some OPEC and non-OPEC members will be met by a decline from others; doing the math here will be complicated for investors betting on the direction of prices.

 

Iran currently faces the re-imposition of US sanctions on its Oil exports after the Trump administration’s withdrawal from the nuclear deal. Venezuela is also on investors’ radars as there are further signs that its Oil industry is entering a dangerous new phase. Meanwhile, Libyan Oil supply is also at risk with the current political mess. These three countries together may contribute to a fall of more than two million barrels a day by the end of 2018, which is likely to keep Oil prices elevated in the second half of 2018.

 

Investors and traders should also keep a close eye on the US Treasury yields. The gap between short- and long-term US bond yields fell to its narrowest levels since 2007, and as we get closer to the inversion, the probability of a recession becomes higher.


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E-Financial

Leadway Partners Firm to Launch Retail Insurance Product for Women

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In line with passion and aspiration of the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM) to achieve financial inclusion among Nigerians especially Nigerian women, Leadway Assurance, has partnered with Wafira Ntaba Limited a marketing firm to launch a bespoken insurance policy for Nigerian women.

The product, Leadway Plan B Insurance policy, comes in simplified and affordable packages for as low as N26,000 per quarter, broadening financial inclusion and income protection for women-led small to medium-sized enterprises and lifestyle protection for women across different social strata in Nigeria.

Speaking at the media launch of the product, Leadway ‘s Director Sales, Retail and Partnership, Kike Fischer, shed light on  the market approach for the Plan B product, saying “one uniqueness of the Plan B product is in its single-wide coverage from risks and perils related to auto insurance, healthcare, personal accident, fire, burglary, life insurance and education cutting across its different product packages – SME, Corporate and Premier packages.”

Also speaking, the visioner behind the Plan B Insurance for Nigerian women, Ayona Aguilera Trimnell shared the inspiration behind the products saying, “Plan B is an idea that has been in development for 10 years.

“As I began exploring insurance products aimed at women in other countries, I recognised the need for an insurance product that promotes financial inclusion in Nigeria, specifically for women. I believed we could create something that addresses their unique concerns.

Women need to understand how insurance can alleviate their worries and the benefits of being insured. I have personally enjoyed the advantages of insurance for over fifteen years, and I believe other women should have the opportunity to experience the same benefits.”

She said both partners could simplify the benefits of the plan B insurance product to help even the uneducated, understand and be convinced to secure their future by becoming a policyholder.

According to her, it has been proven and tested that women too buy insurance, but more women need to be aware and get insured.

On the market approach for the Plan B product, she said she was confident that these products would help women of all classes in Nigeria create and protect wealth, recover from economic challenges, pursue their purposes, and lead their families with peace of mind.


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E-Financial

Sage Grey Finance Partners with Bank of Industry to Empower MSMEs in Nigeria

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L-R: Ololade Pelujo Project Officer PSIP Directorate BOI, Adejumo Atiba, Executive Director Sage Grey Finance, Oluwakemi Adekunle Group Head, Interventions, Yinka Adegboye, Interventions BOI, Yemisi Johnson, Head, Advisory Sage Grey Finance, Omotayo Olutimehin Sectoral Loans and Interventions Division BOI
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Sage Grey Finance Limited has joined forces with the Bank of Industry to provide accessible and affordable financing solutions for Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises (MSMEs) in Nigeria.

This partnership, announced in Lagos, aligns with the Federal Government’s MSMEs Fund and aims to bridge the $236 billion funding gap faced by small businesses, fostering economic growth and job creation.

Eligible MSMEs can access loans of up to ₦5 million at a competitive 9% annual interest rate, with loan processing completed within five working days.

The initiative also includes SME advisory services to equip businesses with tools for sustainable growth.

Executive Director Jumo Atiba emphasized the critical role of MSMEs in national development, highlighting the partnership’s potential to stimulate entrepreneurship and unlock grassroots economic potential.

This collaboration reflects Sage Grey Finance’s commitment to financial inclusion and sustainable development.

The partnership builds on Sage Grey’s history of impactful initiatives, including a $200 million gas processing plant project and youth empowerment programs.

By addressing the challenges of financial exclusion, this collaboration is set to drive inclusive economic progress across Nigeria.


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E-Financial

Four Red Flags Nigerians Ignored until CBEX Crashed- DUBAWA

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It has not been a pleasant week for thousands of Nigerians who have again fallen for another money scam.

Four Red Flags Nigerians Ignored until CBEX Crashed-  DUBAWA

According to DUBAWA, a West African independent verification and fact-checking project, several persons on various social media platforms have begun to count their losses as CBEX, a popular digital asset trading platform, reportedly wiped out over N1.3 trillion from Nigerian investors’ accounts.

The platform collapsed after funds disappeared from users’ wallets, withdrawals were postponed, and communication channels were locked.

Taiwo Owolabi, a security analyst, recently released an analysis showing how investors’ funds were diverted through funnel wallets and finally into a central wallet, which now holds a total of $857 million in USDT.

The security expert concluded that CBEX was just another Ponzi scheme.

When CBEX promised a mouth-watering 100 per cent return on crypto investments in 30 days, many Nigerians rushed to invest just like they did with the defunct MMM.

However, despite the crash, CBEX has asked some investors to pay $100 and $200 verification fees to access partial withdrawals.

Now that the chips are down, it’s time to ask: “How did we not see this coming?”

Below are four red flags about CBEX that investors ignored.

  1. No regulatory approval

CBEX operated without registration or approval from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or the Central Bank of Nigeria.

Still, many Nigerians invested, assuming legitimacy because the platform looked flashy. This has become a pattern, as in previous cases where Nigerians got duped, the platforms were unregistered.

SEC has since warned Nigerians against investing in unregistered online forex and digital asset platforms, saying that operating such businesses without registration is now illegal under the new Investment and Securities Act (ISA).

Lesson: Always verify a platform’s regulatory status before putting your money in. 

  1. Anonymous founders

CBEX’s website and Application did not list identifiable owners or executives. To gain credibility, CBEX masqueraded as a crypto platform, talking about “blockchain,” “trading bots,” and “AI-powered systems.” However, it had no verifiable trades or links to legitimate crypto exchanges. It used tech jargon to mislead its users.

Lesson: Transparency is a minimum requirement. If you don’t know who runs it, don’t trust it.

  1. Unrealistic returns on investment, withdrawal issues

While there is no ideal return on investments (ROI), excessively high ROIs or ones that appear too good to be true are usually a call for caution.

CBEX promised investors returns of up to 100 per cent in 30 days. That looks like a classic Ponzi red flag.

As seen in the past, these kinds of returns are unsustainable, but they remain effective bait that can appeal to anyone’s greed.

At first, CBEX worked. Users were getting paid even though Owolabi claimed the platform initially used one investor’s money to pay another until it could not.

Just before the crash, many users reported delays in withdrawing their funds. CBEX blamed this on “system upgrades” and “network issues,” which is a tactic common with failing schemes.

Lesson: High, guaranteed returns are a red flag, and consistent withdrawal delays indicate that the system is drying up. That’s usually when the exit strategy begins.

  1. Influencer endorsements and peer pressure

The Fear Of Missing Out (FOMO) does not respect age, especially when influencers, friends, and families are involved. However, the misuse of trust through misinformation is common in fraud schemes.

CBEX’s biggest marketing weapon was social media hype and word-of-mouth pressure. The platform relied heavily on trust networks.

From WhatsApp statuses to Facebook pages and TikTok videos, CBEX grew viral through a coordinated network of testimonials. People shared real and fake proof of payment screenshots and emotional success stories.

When friends and family members innocently vouched for it, people ignored other red flags and pumped money into the scheme.

Lesson: Social proof is not due diligence. Always investigate platforms independently, even if people you trust are involved.

Conclusion

CBEX’s collapse is not new; unfortunately, it may not be the last. DUBAWA urges investors to adopt a fact-checking mindset when approached with financial opportunities. Scams thrive on ignorance and trust. Our best defence is verification, not hope.

DUBAWA is a West African independent verification and fact-checking project, initiated by the Centre for Journalism Innovation and Development (CJID) and supported by the most influential newsrooms and civic organisations in West Africa to help amplify the culture of truth in public discourse, public policy, and journalistic practice.

It has a presence in Nigeria, Ghana, Sierra Leone, Liberia and The Gambia.

 

 


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