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Market Rally to Pause on Election Fatigue?

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By Lukman Otunuga, Senior Research Analyst at FXTM

It has been a momentous week defined by anticipation, tension and drama around the US presidential election. 

The outcome of this historic election remains on a knife-edge, with Donald Trump and Democrat challenger Joe Biden going toe to toe in key swing states.

Investors across the globe are likely to adopt a guarded approach amid the cliffhanger vote count with full unofficial results from key swing states – Pennsylvania and Georgia – expected later today. Although Biden may clinch the presidency with just one more state, the race for the White House remains too close to call.

Even if this becomes reality, concerns are elevated over Trump contesting the results of certain states, ultimately opening the door to more uncertainty.

Given how officials have already warned that it may take days or even weeks for the final results amid the huge number of postal ballots, markets could be in for a rocky ride for the rest of 2020.

Asian shares were mixed this morning as investors awaited more clarity from the presidential election, while gains in Europe may be capped if market players turn defensive ahead of the US jobs report this afternoon.

US jobs data in focus

Away from US politics, all eyes will be on the US non-farm payrolls report released later today.

The headline figure is expected to have increased by 600,000 jobs in October after rising 661,000 in September.

This would make it the smallest gain since the jobs recovery started in May and give a clear indication that rising coronavirus infections are negatively impacting the economic recovery.

The unemployment rate is expected to have dipped from 7.9% to 7.7% with average hourly earnings forecast to rise to 0.2% from the 0.1% seen in the previous month.

A disappointing jobs report is likely to hit sentiment towards the US economy and the threat of a contested election that reduces the possibility of another coronavirus rescue package in 2020 may rub salt into the wound.

Looking at the technical picture, the Dollar Index remains under pressure on the daily charts. Prices are trading below the 20 and 100-day Simple Moving Average while the MACD trades to the downside.

A daily close below 92.70 may open a path towards 92.00 in the short to medium term. But should prices push higher and break above 92.70, the Index may venture back towards 93.30.


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E-Financial

FG Asks Banks to Report Individuals with N25m Monthly Transactions to FIRS

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Federal government has mandated banks and financial institutions to begin reporting monthly transactions exceeding N25 million for individuals and N100 million for firms to the tax authorities.

FG Asks Banks to Report Individuals with N25m Monthly Transactions to FIRS

Under the new provisions of the Nigerian Tax Act, financial institutions are required to submit quarterly returns to the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS).

The agency will be renamed to the Nigeria Revenue Service (NRS) from January 2026, when the new tax system will take effect.

“Every person who has an obligation to deduct and remit tax under this Act or any other Returns for tax legislation shall render monthly returns to the appropriate tax authority, as specified deduction of tax in the regulation issued for that purpose,” the Act reads.

“Without prejudice to section 142 of this Act, every bank, insurance company, stock-broking firm, or any other financial institution, shall prepare, with or without demand be delivered by the relevant tax authority, quarterly returns to the relevant tax authority specifying the names and addresses of new customers;Nigerian fashion trends

“…and existing customers in the case of (i) an individual, all transactions where the cumulative transactions in a month amount to N25,000,000 or more, or (ii) a body corporate, all transactions where the cumulative transactions in a month amount to N100,000,000 or more.”

Prior to the new tax law, banks were mandated to report deposits of N5 million — a measure intended to curb illicit financial flows, according to  TheCable

Experts said the shift is part of efforts to tighten anti-money laundering reporting in the financial sector.

In 2023, Nigeria was listed on the grey list by the  Financial Action Task Force (FATF) over deficiencies in tackling money laundering and terrorism financing.

Since then, the country has been making efforts to exit the grey list, which subjects it to increased monitoring by the FATF.

In November 2024, Hafsat Bakari,  chief executive officer (CEO) of the Nigerian Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU), said Nigeria has achieved upgrades in five key recommendations from the FATF.


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NIBSS: Active Bank Accounts in Nigeria Hit 320m

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Nigeria Inter-Bank Settlement System (NIBS) has revealed that the number of active bank accounts in the country increased to 320 million in the first quarter of 2025.

NIBSS: Active Bank Accounts in Nigeria Hit 320m

NIBSS also announced that the country’s cashless transactions rose to N295 trillion in the that quarter, up from N237.11 trillion in the corresponding quarter of 2024.

NIBSS disclosed this in its latest report on the country’s financial sector.

According to the data, the report highlighted the growing reliance on digital payments nationwide.

Details from the report showed that electronic payment channels were used 2.21 billion times in Q1, while point-of-sale, PoS terminals recorded 776.94 million transactions.

The NIBSS report corroborates ACI Worldwide data, which indicated that the volume of Nigeria’s real-time payment transactions will reach 19.7 billion by 2028, up from 7.9 billion in 2023.

“In Nigeria, real-time payments are quickly becoming a viable alternative to cash, historically the dominant choice for payments in the country,” ACI said.


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Edun, Finance Minister Inaugurates NDIC New Management

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Mr Wale Edun, minister of Finance and coordinating minister of the Economy,  has inaugurated Mr Thompson Oludare Sunday, new managing director/chief executive officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), and Dr Kabir Sabo Katata, executive director (Operations),  at the Ministry of Finance, Abuja.

Mr Wale Edun, minister of Finance and coordinating minister of the Economy, flanked by Mr Thompson Oludare Sunday, new managing director/chief executive officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), and Dr Kabir Sabo Katata, executive director (Operations),

In his speech during the occasion, the Minister submitted that the NDIC, as a component of the financial safety-net has a crucial role to play in the nation’s march to economic stability and prosperity.

He therefore charged the Management team to bring their diverse wealth of experience to bear on their new assignment while assuring them of the ministry’s full support in the task ahead.

Responding, Mr Sunday who spoke on behalf of the Management team, expressed appreciation to His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu for their appointment.

He assured the Hon Minister of the readiness of the Management under his leadership to live up to expectations of the President in particular and the nation in general in the discharge of their duties.

The Management  later received by the Corporation’s Head Office with a warm welcome by the workforce.

A statement signed by Hawwau Gambo, head, Communication & Public Affairs Department, revealed that Addressing the workers on behalf the Management team, Mr. Sunday promised to work in harmony with the staff to move the Corporation to its next level performance.

He stressed that the Management’s focus would be based on the public policy objectives, functions and mandate devolved on the Corporation by the enabling law that established it.

Thompson Oludare Sunday is a seasoned financial expert with over 30 years of regulatory and supervisory experience.

Having cut his teeth with the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in 1989, he went ahead to acquire high-end knowledge in Central Banking, spending 24 unbroken years in banking supervision.

While his vast experience is in the regulation and supervision of licensed institutions, his deep expertise span corporate governance, risk management and compliance as veritable tool for ensuring the safety and soundness of institutions.

He is a highly analytical and cross functional team worker with strong interest in building individual and institutional capacity for transformation and excellence.

Thompson’s skills and experience were horned by several key responsibilities and special assignments he handled for the apex Bank before his retirement as a Director 2021.

Kabir Sabo Katata, ED (Operations),  is a quantitative energy strategist and computational finance expert with strong power trading and risk management experience.

He has over twenty-eight years’ experience in the design and management of technically innovative systems in multiple industries including telecommunications, IT, energy (petroleum & power), finance and government.

He is a specialist in sophisticated financial optimization, the application of modern statistical techniques and mathematics to energy, deposit insurance and banking sectors.

Dr. Katata joined the service of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation in 2012 as an Assistant Director in the Research, Policy and International Relations Department and rose to the pinnacle of his career as Director in January 2022, before his new appointment as Executive Director (Operations).

 

 


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