E-Financial
Naira Depreciation Erodes Firms’ Confidence, Drops by 3.2 Index Points — CBN
Nigerian businesses are becoming less confident in the economy as expectations of further naira depreciation loom before the year ends, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) Business Expectation Survey for October.
The Overall Confidence Index (OCI) dropped by 3.2 points to 14.5, down from 17.7 points in September, reflecting a waning business outlook.
The survey highlighted a decrease in the OCI for the current month, next month, and the upcoming six months, with the indexes falling to 1.4, 4.8, and 21.8 points respectively, compared to 3.2, 6.2, and 29 points recorded in September.
“The overall confidence index (CI) on the macroeconomy indicates that businesses were optimistic in October 2024,” the CBN noted. However, businesses expressed expectations for the naira’s depreciation over the next three months, with hopes for a potential appreciation within six months.
Key concerns affecting the business landscape include high interest rates, insecurity, multiple taxes, inadequate power supply, an unfavorable economic climate, and financial constraints, according to the survey.
Sectoral analysis showed that optimism on business operations was prevalent across all sectors except the Industry sector. Respondents also expressed a positive outlook on business volume, total orders, financial conditions, and access to credit during the review period.
In anticipation of improved conditions, many businesses plan to increase hiring in November, with the Agriculture sector showing the highest prospects for employment and expansion.
The Construction sector, however, remains hesitant about workforce growth in the upcoming month.
The naira appreciated to N1,600 per dollar in the parallel market at the close of trading hours on Monday, strengthening from N1,610 per dollar recorded over the weekend.
Similarly, the naira saw a slight gain in the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market (NFEM), trading at N1,605 per dollar compared to N1,606 last Friday, according to data from the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). This represents a marginal N1 appreciation.
As a result, the gap between the parallel market and official exchange rate widened slightly to N5 per dollar, up from N4 over the weekend.
Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) spent N315.18bn on currency issue expenses in 2024, marking a sharp increase of 306 per cent compared to N77.67bn recorded in 2023, the apex bank’s audited financial statement for the year has shown.
Currency issue expenses cover the printing, processing, distribution, and disposal of banknotes.
The latest figures reveal that the CBN’s cost of managing physical cash spiralled dramatically during the year under review, as Nigeria grappled with lingering cash shortages and disruptions in the money supply chain.
The surge in expenditure came as the country continued to deal with the effects of the naira redesign policy introduced in late 2022.
Despite efforts to stabilise cash circulation throughout 2023, Nigerians still faced queues at ATMs and difficulties in accessing cash in early and late 2024.
Faced with mounting public outcry, the CBN deployed several emergency measures to address the crisis.
Deposit Money Banks were directed to ensure consistent ATM loading and rural cash distribution, while the Bank also launched public hotlines for citizens to report cash scarcity incidents.
Also, the CBN ramped up enforcement efforts, including deploying monitoring teams, issuing sanctions against non-compliant banks, and mandating improved cash distribution.
PalmPay, a full-service digital bank, has reaffirmed its dedication to advancing the future of payments in Nigeria by promoting the widespread adoption of contactless-enabled payment terminals.
This was made known during the recently concluded BusinessDay Future of Payment Conference, themed “Fintech Evolution: Gateway to Payments.” In his welcome address, BusinessDay Publisher, Frank Aigbogun, emphasized that the next phase of fintech innovation must be driven not only by speed, safety, and simplicity but also by trust, inclusion, and accessibility to ensure broad-based impact across all segments of society.
Talking about PalmPay’s impact in the panel session titled “The Next Wave of Digital Payments: Trends and Innovation,” Ifeanyi Uzoka, Senior Business Development Manager at PalmPay, discussed the evolving landscape of digital payments in Nigeria.
He noted that while regulatory frameworks have supported the introduction of contactless payments, the high level of cash dependency remains a key barrier to widespread adoption.
“At PalmPay, financial inclusion is central to everything we do,” Uzoka stated. “To support this mission, we’ve launched contactless-enabled debit and premium cards, ensuring our users have access to convenient and secure payment experiences. We also understand that trust is critical, which is why all contactless transactions on PalmPay’s platform include an additional layer of authentication for enhanced security.”
PalmPay continues to lead innovation in Nigeria’s digital finance ecosystem by delivering secure, user-friendly, and future-ready solutions. The company’s recently launched debit and premium cards in partnership with Verve are now serving its growing base of over 35 million users nationwide.
This move into contactless payments underscores PalmPay’s alignment with global payment trends and its ongoing commitment to building a more inclusive and digitally empowered economy.
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