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E-Financial

Should Your Investments Panic Over Nigeria’s Presidential Elections

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By Ekanem Etim, CFA

With Nigeria’s presidential elections around the corner, questions on the potential impact of the elections on all spheres of our everyday lives, continually spring up in our minds.

Nigerians are increasingly partaking in economic discourse, as the rapidly growing, young, inquisitive, and fickle population anxiously awaits its fate. A prevalent conversation is on how the next government’s policies will influence economy and living conditions.

In the wake of these discussions, investors ponder on the best investment strategies to adopt. Decisions on whether to buy, sell or hold assets; currency pairs and other financial assets are top on the list. Speculation on candidates’ personalities, past performance and policy interests may drive short-term market movements immediately after election results are called.

In 2015, the Nigerian stock market witnessed a 10-day stretch of gains, upon the announcement of Buhari’s win, on grounds of possible anti-corruption interventions. Meanwhile, in 2019, Buhari’s re-election was met with pessimism in the market. So, the question remains “should your investment strategy change in an election year”?

Disciplined Investing

Investors should approach investing from a total portfolio perspective and create a workable blueprint to be followed in the long-term. This means that your portfolio should be managed holistically with the aim of achieving your set goal(s).

At first, articulate your portfolio’s investment objective(s). For individuals, this may include retirement plans, purchase of a home, or children’s education. Some objectives may be short term in nature while others will have a longer time horizon. You can also view your goals in terms of safety, income, and growth.

Safety goals ensure that you preserve your initial capital against potential losses; this tends to be very low risk in nature. Income goals are more aggressive and ensure that you have some earnings, while growth objectives are the most aggressive, and are targeted at building wealth over time.

Next, build a customised plan to enable you achieve your objectives, keeping in mind your ability to take risks, projected time horizon and possible unique circumstances such as your family situation.

Many factors affect your ability to take on risks, age – the younger you are, the greater your ability to take on risks, since your portfolio seemingly has more time to recover from possible losses. Similarly, the larger your asset base, the higher your capacity to absorb losses and therefore, the higher your ability to take on risks.

The investment plan should allocate your portfolio to different chosen asset classes; financial assets – stocks, bond etc. and alternative assets such as real estate. You should maintain the discipline to strictly follow your investment plan and approach this without sentiments.

Market cycles will fluctuate with policy changes, economic conditions, and other events during your investment horizon. In this period, endeavour to keep to your investment plan, since it is a long-term strategy. Therefore, the elections should not influence your long-term investment strategy.

Ekanem Etim is an Assistant Vice President with DLM Advisory, a subsidiary of DLM Capital Group and can be reached on eetim@dlm.group.

 


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E-Financial

Nigeria to Exit Grey List Soon – SEC

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Nigeria may soon exit the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) grey list, Emomotimi Agama, director-general, Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), has said.

Nigeria to Exit Grey List Soon – SEC

Emomotimi Agama, DG, SEC

This is with the inclusion of digital assets regulation in the recently signed Investments and Securities Act (ISA) 2025.

Speaking in Abuja, Agama noted that the inclusion of digital assets in ISA 2025 provides the country with a strong platform to exit the grey list, as the new law aims to curb fraudulent activities in the digital space while fostering trust and innovation in blockchain technologies.

President Bola Ahmed Tinubu recently signed the ISA 2025 into law.

Nigeria was placed on the FATF grey list (indicating increased monitoring) on February 24, 2023, due to deficiencies in its anti-money laundering (AML) and counter-terrorism financing (CFT) regime.

According to Agama, “It may interest you to know that the AML/CFT issue is what brought about our inclusion in the grey list. The inclusion of this law today provides us an avenue to exit that grey list, and that is very critical to the international community. We are telling the world that Nigeria is open for business and committed to protecting all legitimate business operations within the country.”

He emphasized that trading in cryptocurrencies does not equate to a weaker naira, adding that the Commission will provide regulatory guidance to ensure activities in the space align with national interest.

“The SEC now has the power to clamp down on unregulated entities. We encourage everyone in this space to come under regulation, seek clearance, and obtain guidance.

“We are ready to provide the needed support to ensure national economic interests are protected. Clarity in the law will give market participants confidence and security,” he said.

Agama explained that the essence of regulation is to create protective boundaries around institutions, products, and individuals to prevent illegal practices.

He also highlighted collaboration with key agencies including the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), Nigeria Financial Intelligence Unit (NFIU), and the Office of the National Security Adviser.

“We are working collectively to ensure that this sector does not become inimical to Nigeria’s existence. Proper guidance is essential, especially because every investment – digital or traditional – carries risks. Managing that risk is our priority,” he said.

He further disclosed that the SEC is currently implementing moderated regulation, noting that it is not feasible to issue licenses to all applicants at once.

“We have two programmes: the Regulatory Incubation Programme and the Accelerated Incubation Programme. These are tools to evaluate the risks posed by institutions to the Nigerian economy and its citizens. We will release the next cohort in the coming quarter, after reviewing the progress of the previous cohorts,” he said.

To address regulatory challenges, Agama said the Commission is introducing risk management as a legal instrument to guide capital market operators and security issuers in mitigating future risks.

“This move will enhance investor confidence and protection. We have also strengthened Know Your Customer (KYC) processes through this risk management framework to distinguish genuine investors from those with malicious intent,” he added.


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E-Financial

AfDB Mobilizes $2.2Bn to Support Nigeria’s Agriculture

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African Development Bank (AfDB) is mobilising $2.2 billion to develop agricultural processing zones in 28 states in Nigeria to boost food security and create jobs, Akinwumi Adesina, the bank’s president  said on Tuesday.

AfDB Mobilizes $2.2Bn to Support Nigeria's Agriculture

Adesina was speaking in northern Kaduna state while launching the first phase of the initiative that is targeting five states. This phase is being bankrolled by more than $500 million that was first announced in 2022.

The AfDB head said the funding needs for the second phase would be presented to the AfDB board shortly for approval.

“We have been able, I would like to say, to mobilize $2.2 billion of investment interest to support the second phase across Nigeria,” he said during the ceremony in Kaduna.

Adesina said besides the AfDB, Arab Bank for Economic Development, Africa Import-Export Bank, agri-investment fintech Sahara Farms and French and U.S. institutions were among institutions that would help raise the $2.2 billion.

The agro-processing zones aim to create facilities to process agricultural produce closer to farmers, which will reduce post-harvest losses and strengthen value chains from farms to market.

Last year, Nigeria spent $4.7 billion importing food, the AfDB said, a trend authorities also hope to reverse with more investment in the farming sector.

 


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E-Financial

Court Delays $81.5Bn Tax Evasion Case against Binance

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Nigerian authorities have postponed legal proceedings against Binance as tensions persist over the crypto exchange’s role in the country’s economic troubles.

Court Delays $81.5Bn Tax Evasion Case against Binance

According to a recent report, a court in Nigeria has pushed back the tax evasion case to April 30.

The delay gives the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) more time to respond to Binance’s request to cancel a previous court order that allowed legal documents to be served to the company via email.

The FIRS initially filed the lawsuit in February, claiming Binance owes the country a whopping $2 billion in taxes along with an additional $79.5 billion in economic damages.

Related court filings reveal that the agency is pushing for the exchange to pay corporate income taxes for the years 2022 and 2023.

On top of that, FIRS has demanded a 10% annual penalty on the unpaid taxes and nearly 27% interest on the outstanding amounts.

The agency has argued that Binance’s level of business activity qualifies as a “significant economic presence” in Nigeria, thereby making it liable for taxation under local law.

Binance, however, has challenged the court’s earlier decision to allow the order to be served via email.

According to Chukwuka Ikwuazom, Binance’s attorney, the order should be annulled, as Binance is registered in the Cayman Islands, has no physical office in Nigeria, and was served without proper court authorisation for cross-border delivery.

Since expanding its services to Nigeria on October 24, 2019, with the addition of Naira, Binance’s journey in the West African country has been marred with regulatory pushback.

Things came to a head in February 2024 when two Binance executives, Tigran Gambaryan, a US citizen, and Nadeem Anjarwalla, a British-Kenyan national, were unexpectedly detained by Nigerian authorities.

The executives had travelled to Abuja for what was supposed to be a series of meetings with government officials to address concerns around Binance’s local operations.

Instead, they were arrested and charged with tax evasion and money laundering.

The situation took a dramatic turn when Anjarwalla escaped custody in March and fled the country, reportedly making his way to Kenya, where he remains at large.

Gambaryan, however, stayed behind bars for months.

As previously covered on Invezz, reports soon started to surface that Gambaryan was suffering from pneumonia, malaria, and a herniated spinal disc, all while allegedly being denied proper medical attention.

His detention caught the attention of US lawmakers, which even led Representative Rich McCormick to introduce a resolution in July 2024 that classified his arrest as a hostage situation.

By October, the Nigerian government dropped the money laundering charges against Gambaryan, leading to his release on October 23, 2024.

He returned to the US the same month, bringing an end to a nearly seven-month-long detention.

In between, Binance officially halted all naira-related services and exited the Nigerian market in March 2024.

 

 

 

 

 


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