E-Financial
Strengthening Nigeria’s Financial Future: The Imperative of Domestic Investment and Market Stability
By Aigbovbioise Aig-Imoukhuede
Nigeria stands at a pivotal juncture in its economic trajectory, navigating through a myriad of challenges and opportunities. The country’s financial outlook is being shaped by a confluence of factors ranging from regulatory changes and technological advancements to global economic trends and internal policy shifts. This piece aims to dissect these elements, drawing insights from the recent Bloomberg Discovery Series (Nigeria) panel session where I had the privilege of participating.
Aigbovbioise Aig-Imoukhuede
• The Current Economic Landscape
Nigeria’s economic landscape is characterised by a complex interplay of growth and stagnation. The National Bureau of Statistics reports growth, which is promising. However, the true metric of economic vitality lies in long-term investment. Unfortunately, Nigeria has been grappling with a significant exodus of multinational companies such as Glaxo, Proctor & Gamble, and PZ Cussons over the past year. This trend underscores a crucial issue: the need for robust domestic investment.
Strengthening Nigeria’s capital markets is paramount. These markets will serve as the bedrock for future investment, ensuring sustainable economic growth. Achieving this necessitates macroeconomic stability, particularly in currency and inflation management. Stability in the naira’s value against the US dollar and controlled inflation are essential for fostering an environment conducive to long-term business planning and investment.
• Regulatory Changes and Their Impacts
Recent regulatory changes are set to reshape Nigeria’s financial sector significantly. The ongoing bank recapitalisation process, which requires banks to raise over N2.0 trillion in fresh capital, is a transformative initiative. This move mirrors the impactful reforms initiated by Governor Soludo two decades ago, promising rapid consolidation and enhanced borrowing capacity within the banking sector.
Beyond banking, the Nigerian Exchange (NGX) is witnessing a surge in initial public offerings (IPOs), including the highly anticipated NNPC and Aradel IPOs. These developments signal a bustling year ahead, with increased market activity and potential for substantial economic gains.
• Technology and Digital Transformation
The impact of technology and digital transformation on Nigeria’s financial services industry is profound. Internally, banks have leveraged technology to streamline processes, enhancing efficiency and customer satisfaction. Externally, technology is broadening financial inclusion, integrating more individuals into the formal financial system.
Start-up internet-only banks are making significant strides, though they have yet to displace established banks. Traditional banks have swiftly adapted, launching their own digital products and leveraging their expertise in liquidity management to maintain a competitive edge. The synergy between fintech innovations and traditional banking institutions is driving a more inclusive and efficient financial ecosystem.
• Domestic and Foreign Investment Trends
While the departure of multinational companies highlights a challenging investment climate, Nigeria’s future lies in its capital markets. These markets must be robust enough to attract and sustain both domestic and foreign investments. Controlling inflation is critical to achieving this goal, as inflation undermines business planning and investor confidence. Once inflation is stabilised, consensus on the naira/dollar exchange rate can be established, fostering a more predictable and attractive investment environment.
• Central Bank of Nigeria’s Monetary Policies
The Central Bank of Nigeria’s recent shift towards orthodox monetary policies marks a significant development. With Nigerian Treasury Bills yielding around 25.0% for one-year T-bills and OMO bill auction yields reaching 29.0%, there is a renewed attraction for investment in the financial system. These high returns are enticing foreign portfolio investors and bolstering the naira.
However, there are trade-offs. High-interest rates impose a burden on borrowers but simultaneously strengthen the case for saving in naira. This policy approach is crucial for stabilising inflation and, by extension, the currency. As these policies take root, Nigeria can expect a more stable and prosperous financial landscape.
• Risks Facing Financial Institutions
Nigeria’s financial institutions are navigating a landscape fraught with risks. High-interest rates, while offering opportunities for profit, also pose significant challenges. Borrowers are under stress, and the valuation of investments must reflect these elevated rates, introducing volatility into financial statements.
The adoption of mark-to-market accounting, championed by the Fund Managers Association of Nigeria, is a crucial step towards mitigating these risks. This accounting method ensures that financial statements accurately reflect current market conditions, fostering transparency and stability in the capital markets.
• Sustainable Finance and ESG Considerations
Sustainable finance is gradually taking root in Nigeria, integrating environmental, social, and governance (ESG) considerations into financial activities. Regulatory policies by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) are paving the way. These policies encompass principles of environmental and social risk management, financial inclusion, and guidelines for green bonds.
Banks and financial institutions are also investing in capacity building and training, equipping themselves to better assess and manage ESG risks. Despite progress, challenges remain. Limited awareness, inadequate regulatory enforcement, and a nascent market for green financial products hinder widespread adoption. However, the global shift towards sustainability presents significant opportunities for Nigeria to leverage its natural resources for sustainable development.
• Financing SMEs: Challenges and Opportunities
Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) are the backbone of Nigeria’s economy, yet they face formidable challenges. Limited access to finance, due to high risk, lack of collateral, and inadequate financial records, is a primary barrier. Additionally, many SME owners lack financial literacy and management skills, further impeding their ability to secure loans.
However, there are promising opportunities. Government initiatives, such as the SME Credit Guarantee Scheme and the Youth Entrepreneurship Support (YES) programme, provide much-needed funding. Policy reforms, like the National Collateral Registry, enhance access to finance by allowing movable assets to be used as collateral.
Innovative financing solutions are also emerging. Crowdfunding platforms, angel investors, and venture capital firms are providing alternative sources of capital. Fintech companies are leveraging technology to simplify the loan application process and reduce reliance on traditional collateral. Microfinance banks (MFBs) offer tailored financial products to SMEs, making microloans more accessible.
• Global Economic Trends and Their Impact
Global economic trends, particularly commodity price fluctuations and geopolitical tensions, significantly impact Nigeria’s financial sector. While commodity prices are relatively stable, the real concern lies with US bond rates. High yields on US Government bonds are drawing dollars away from emerging markets, including Nigeria. This trend is likely to persist until US bond rates decline.
• The Future of Technological Innovations
Technological innovations, particularly blockchain and artificial intelligence (AI), hold transformative potential for Nigeria’s financial industry. Blockchain can enhance security and transparency in financial transactions, while AI can drive efficiency and inclusivity. However, realising this potential requires a supportive ecosystem.
Collaboration among stakeholders—government, financial institutions, technology providers, and academia—is crucial. By fostering such partnerships, Nigeria can harness these technologies to spur innovation, improve financial services, and stimulate economic growth.
Conclusion
Nigeria’s financial outlook is at a crossroads, shaped by a dynamic interplay of internal and external factors. Strengthening capital markets, stabilising the macroeconomic environment, and leveraging technological innovations are essential for sustainable growth. By addressing these challenges and seizing the opportunities, Nigeria can build a resilient and inclusive financial ecosystem, paving the way for a prosperous future.
Titan Trust Bank has selected Oracle FSS for its core and digital banking technology, it is understood.
The start-up bank recently obtained its license by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).
It’s understood that Temenos and Infosys also competed for the deal.
The shortlist came down to the two most widely installed international core systems in Nigeria, Infosys’ Finacle and Oracle FSS’s Flexcube.
The Nigerian banking sector has seen a great deal of upheaval over the years, with many mergers, start-ups and closures. Flexcube is a well respected name since the late 1990s (the pioneer was Access Bank, now one of the country’s top five banks) and has been a commonly selected platform since then.
The new bank is believed to be one of five to have gained regulatory approval of late (Globus Bank is another).
Local media sources say the new licences stem from the Central Bank’s desire to attract new investments into the sector and better serve the country’s 50 million+ unbanked and under-banked citizens.
Titan Bank is said to be headed by a former executive director of Heritage Bank (which is a Finacle user).
Oracle FSS did not respond to request for comment.
International Monetary Fund (IMF), has appointed Tony Elumelu, Nigerian billionaire and group chairman of Heirs Holdings, owners of United Bank of Africa, to its advisory council on entrepreneurship and growth, convened by Kristalina Georgieva, the fund managing director.
The announcement was disclosed in a statement on Friday.
According to the statement, the IMF advisory council comprises global business leaders, policymakers, and academics dedicated to identifying and addressing regulatory barriers to entrepreneurship.
The IMF said Elumelu will be instrumental in ensuring that Africa’s entrepreneurship is central in policy making.
“Elumelu, Africa’s leading advocate of entrepreneurship and whose Foundation has funded, mentored, and trained over 25,000 African entrepreneurs since 2015, champions entrepreneurship as the engine for the economic transformation of Africa,” the statement reads.
“A self-made entrepreneur, Elumelu’s embracing of entrepreneurship is fundamental to his concept of Africapitalism, his belief that Africa’s private sector can and must play a leading role in the continent’s development, making long-term investments that deliver social and economic value.
“Elumelu will be instrumental in ensuring that Africa’s entrepreneurial potential is central to global economic policy making.”
Speaking at the inaugural meeting of the advisory council on March 26, Georgieva said the appointees would share their experiences on how macroeconomic and financial policies “can provide a supportive environment for innovation, entrepreneurship, and productivity — key ingredients for a thriving private sector and strong economic growth”.
Africa’s Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises, fintech industry, scaling remittances, and cross-border payments will be the driving forces behind the continent’s digital ballooning payments system, which is estimated to reach $1.5 trillion by 2030.
This is according to a MasterCard-commissioned study by Genesis Analytics, which states that the digital payments economy is growing faster on the continent.
This comes as the World Bank says Sub-Saharan Africa has shown significant growth in financial inclusion over the past decade, much of it driven by mobile money account adoption.
Dimitrios Dosis, president, Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa at MasterCard, comments: “Africa is filled with immense possibilities, and its people have the potential to shape the global economy in the decades ahead.
“MasterCard remains deeply committed to driving digital transformation across the continent, working closely with entrepreneurs, merchants, banks, start-ups, telcos, and governments. By increasing our investments, expanding innovation, and fostering inclusion, we are helping build a more connected and accessible digital future.”
The payment technology company went on to say as a longstanding technology partner to Africa, its continues to strengthen its commitment to the continent’s digital growth through strategic investments, public-private partnerships, and innovation initiatives that drive financial health and economic growth.
In addition, it says trends in Africa signal a strong shift towards digital transactions, with businesses and consumers increasingly embracing contactless solutions, further accelerating economic participation and financial accessibility across the region.
“For over five decades, MasterCard has worked alongside African governments, businesses, and communities to advance financial inclusion and economic development.
“With Africa projected to host nine of the world’s 20 fastest-growing economies, we are focused on leveraging our expertise and a technology to support the continent’s continued digital transformation.
“Our investments today will help build a more resilient economy for the future,” says Mark Elliott, division president, Africa, MasterCard
By fostering collaboration with key stakeholders, MasterCard says it aims to enhance digital connectivity, expand economic opportunities, and enable millions of people and businesses to thrive in the digital economy.
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