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E-Business

The Hanke’s Misery Index: How Africa’s Economic Challenges Are Holding Back the Continent

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By Evans Woherem, Ph.D

Introduction

Unleashing the economic potential of any nation requires unwavering commitment and a clear vision. However, Africa, a diverse continent abundant in resources and human capital, faces numerous challenges that impede its development and progress. Political unrest, corruption, poverty, human rights violations, and economic instability cast a dark shadow over many African nations, intertwining to create pervasive challenges that foster instability, hamper development efforts, and uproot countless lives.

These claims are supported by numerous studies, reports, and data. Indices such as the Ibrahim Index of African Governance and the Global Corruption Barometer by Transparency International shed light on governance and corruption levels, revealing systemic issues that contribute to overall distress. Reports from esteemed international organizations like the United Nations and the World Bank offer in-depth analysis, highlighting the multidimensional nature of the problems, including the impact of political instability and human rights violations on societal well-being.

To gain a clearer understanding of the economic challenges faced by African nations, we can look at the 2022 Hanke’s Annual Misery Index. This index provides insight into the economic hardships experienced by countries by considering various indicators. It is a composite measure that takes into account the year-end unemployment rate (multiplied by two), inflation rate, bank-lending rates, and the annual percentage change in real GDP per capita. The index combines these elements to yield the Hanke’s Annual Misery Index (HAMI) score, with higher scores indicating greater economic misery.

According to the 2022 HAMI scores, several African countries ranked among the 50 most severely afflicted nations. Zimbabwe claimed the unfortunate title of the world’s most miserable country with a score of 414.7, followed by Sudan (176.1) and Angola (93.518). Other countries on the list included Ghana (86.8), South Africa (83.492), Rwanda (69.192), Botswana (64.023), Madagascar (63.6), Malawi (63.5), Eswatini (63.1), Gabon (62.4), Sao Tome and Principe (62.3), Congo (Brazzaville) (61.5), Ethiopia (61), Libya (60.3), Namibia (55.7), Lesotho (51.6), Algeria (50.2), Nigeria (47.2), Tunisia (46.905), and Mauritania (45.4).

These nations confront profound challenges and overwhelming hardships, with their misery index scores reflecting the weight of inflation, unemployment, and burdensome lending rates.

The consequences of these elevated misery index scores extend widely within the affected countries. Scarce resources that could otherwise be invested in infrastructure, education, and healthcare are diverted towards addressing immediate needs, impeding long-term development efforts.

Additionally, political instability and human rights abuses erode social cohesion, intensify societal divisions, and constrain opportunities for dialogue and progress. Also, the displacement of millions of people places added strain on already fragile systems, burdening host communities and affecting regional stability.

Furthermore, these consequences transcend national boundaries. The high misery index scores contribute to a negative portrayal of the continent, potentially dissuading foreign investment and impeding economic cooperation. Consequently, the perpetuation of stagnation and economic hardships fosters a cycle of poverty, constraining opportunities for future generations and impeding the achievement of sustainable development goals.

Addressing the complex challenges facing Africa necessitates a comprehensive approach involving good governance, anti-corruption measures, poverty reduction strategies, human rights protection, economic stability, regional cooperation, and technological innovation.

By confronting political unrest, corruption, poverty, and economic instability while drawing inspiration from successful models, African nations can pave the path toward sustainable economic development, social stability, and improved livelihoods.

The following sections will delve deeper into each challenge, exploring their root causes, examining their implications, and discussing potential strategies and solutions.

By recognizing and understanding the hurdles faced by African nations, we can foster informed discussions and contribute to the formulation of effective policies that foster inclusive growth, shared prosperity, and the safeguarding of human rights, thereby transforming Africa’s economic landscape.

Economic Challenges in African Countries

The economic challenges faced by African countries are a matter of concern, with various nations experiencing significant difficulties. This section explores the economic struggles of Zimbabwe, Sudan, Angola, Ghana, and other African nations, shedding light on their specific challenges and rankings on the Misery Index.

This index, developed by Steve Hanke, a professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, takes into account both the economic performance and the socioeconomic conditions of countries’ populations. Additionally, it highlights the contrast between countries facing misery and those achieving greater happiness, underscoring the uneven progress across the continent.

  1. Zimbabwe’s economic challenges and unfortunate ranking

Zimbabwe’s economic challenges have led to an unfortunate ranking as the most miserable country in the world for the second consecutive year, according to the 2022 Hanke’s Annual Misery Index. Several factors contribute to this ranking, notably the country’s staggering inflation rate, which reached 243.8% in 2022. Such high inflation erodes the value of the local currency, making it increasingly challenging for individuals to afford basic necessities and maintain a stable standard of living.

Moreover, Zimbabwe faces the hurdle of high lending rates, standing at 131.8%. These elevated borrowing costs make it difficult for businesses and individuals to access affordable credit, hindering investment and impeding economic growth. The lack of adequate financing opportunities stunts the economy’s expansion, resulting in stagnant development.

Trade integration, or rather the lack thereof, is another critical aspect impacting Zimbabwe’s economic situation. The decline in trade integration has restricted the country’s ability to acquire new technologies and attract investment. Trade integration plays a vital role in facilitating the sharing of knowledge, resources, and innovation among countries, which significantly contributes to economic growth. Without this avenue for collaboration and access to new opportunities, Zimbabwe finds it challenging to develop and improve its economic prospects.

The burden of debt and arrears to international financial institutions (IFIs) further exacerbates Zimbabwe’s challenges. The country’s substantial level of debt, coupled with its inability to make timely payments to IFIs, hampers its capacity for investment and development.

Instead of directing resources towards productive sectors and infrastructure, Zimbabwe must allocate a significant portion of its income to debt repayments. Furthermore, the accumulation of arrears makes it increasingly difficult for the country to obtain new loans, thereby limiting its potential for growth.

Consequently, a considerable portion of the Zimbabwean population is grappling with severe financial difficulties, struggling to meet their basic needs. The combination of high inflation, exorbitant lending rates, limited trade integration, and a significant debt burden has created a challenging environment for individuals and businesses alike. Addressing these issues through effective economic policies and reforms becomes crucial to alleviate the financial hardships faced by Zimbabweans and foster sustainable development.

  1. Sudan’s Economic Challenges and Political Instability

Sudan has been grappling with a range of significant economic challenges that have had a substantial impact on the country. One of the primary concerns is the soaring inflation rate, which reached a peak of 220.71% in April 2022.

However, according to projections by the African Development Bank, there is hope for improvement, with inflation expected to moderate to 83.2% in 2023 and further decrease to 75.5% in 2024.

Simultaneously, Sudan has witnessed a rise in the poverty rate, which reached 66.1% in 2022. This increase is partly attributed to the high unemployment rate of 20.6% during the same year. The economic hardships faced by the Sudanese population are further exacerbated by political instability.

In addition to these challenges, Sudan has been grappling with an ongoing armed conflict since 2011. This protracted conflict has resulted in significant human casualties, with over 500 lives lost, and has displaced more than 1 million individuals.

Furthermore, Sudan is confronted with environmental challenges, including land degradation, temperature increases, droughts, floods, erratic rainfall, and locust invasions. These environmental factors have had a detrimental impact on agricultural output, impeded GDP growth, and destroyed livelihoods.

Despite these formidable challenges, Sudan boasts abundant natural resources, such as arable land, livestock, and minerals. However, the full utilization of these resources has been hindered by financing deficiencies.

Effectively addressing the economic challenges faced by Sudan and overcoming political instability are pivotal steps towards improving the country’s economic prospects and enhancing the well-being of its citizens.

To be Continued …….


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AI Slows Down some Experienced Software Developers, Study Finds

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Contrary to popular belief, using cutting-edge artificial intelligence tools slowed down experienced software developers when they were working in codebases familiar to them, rather than supercharging their work, a new study found.

AI research nonprofit METR conducted the in-depth study, on a group of seasoned developers earlier this year while they used Cursor, a popular AI coding assistant, to help them complete tasks in open-source projects they were familiar with.

Before the study, the open-source developers believed using AI would speed them up, estimating it would decrease task completion time by 24%. Even after completing the tasks with AI, the developers believed that they had decreased task times by 20%. But the study found that using AI did the opposite: it increased task completion time by 19%.

The study’s lead authors, Joel Becker and Nate Rush, said they were shocked by the results: prior to the study, Rush had written down that he expected “a 2x speed up, somewhat obviously.”

The findings challenge the belief that AI always makes expensive human engineers much more productive, a factor that has attracted substantial investment into companies selling AI products to aid software development.

AI is also expected to replace entry-level coding positions. Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, recently told Axios that AI could wipe out half of all entry-level white collar jobs in the next one to five years.

Prior literature on productivity improvements has found significant gains: one study found using AI sped up coders by 56%, another study found developers were able to complete 26% more tasks in a given time.

But the new METR study shows that those gains don’t apply to all software development scenarios. In particular, this study showed that experienced developers intimately familiar with the quirks and requirements of large, established open source codebases experienced a slowdown.

Other studies often rely on software development benchmarks for AI, which sometimes misrepresent real-world tasks, the study’s authors said.

The slowdown stemmed from developers needing to spend time going over and correcting what the AI models suggested.

“When we watched the videos, we found that the AIs made some suggestions about their work, and the suggestions were often directionally correct, but not exactly what’s needed,” Becker said.

The authors cautioned that they do not expect the slowdown to apply in other scenarios, such as for junior engineers or engineers working in codebases they aren’t familiar with.

Still, the majority of the study’s participants, as well as the study’s authors, continue to use Cursor today.

The authors believe it is because AI makes the development experience easier, and in turn, more pleasant, akin to editing an essay instead of staring at a blank page.

“Developers have goals other than completing the task as soon as possible,” Becker said. “So they’re going with this less effortful route.”

 


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Firm Uncovers $500K Crypto Heist Through Malicious Packages

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Kaspersky GReAT (Global Research and Analysis Team) experts have discovered open-source packages that download the Quasar backdoor and a stealer designed to exfiltrate cryptocurrency. The malicious packages are intended for the Cursor AI development environment, which is based on Visual Studio Code — a tool used for AI-assisted coding.

The malicious open-source packages are extensions hosted in the Open VSX repository that claim to provide support for the Solidity programming language. However, in practice, they download and execute malicious code on users’ devices.

During an incident response, a blockchain developer from Russia reached out to Kaspersky after installing one of these fake extensions on his computer, which allowed attackers to steal approximately $500,000 worth of crypto assets.

The threat actor behind these packages managed to deceive the developer by making the malicious package rank higher than the legitimate one. The attacker achieved this by artificially inflating the malicious package’s downloads count to 54,000.

After installation, the victim gained no actual functionality from the extension. Instead, malicious ScreenConnect software was installed on the computer, granting threat actors remote access to the infected device.

Using this access, they deployed the open-source Quasar backdoor along with a stealer that collects data from browsers, email clients, and crypto wallets. With these tools, the threat actors were able to obtain the developer’s wallet seed phrases and subsequently steal cryptocurrency from the accounts.

After the malicious extension downloaded by the developer was discovered and removed from the repository, the threat actor republished it and artificially inflated its installation count to a higher number – 2 million, compared to 61,000 for the legitimate package. The extension was removed from the platform following a request from Kaspersky.

“Spotting compromised open-source packages with the naked eye is becoming increasingly difficult. Threat actors are using increasingly creative tactics to deceive potential victims, even developers who have a strong understanding of cybersecurity risks — particularly those working in the blockchain development field.

As we expect adversaries to continue targeting developers, it is recommended that even experienced IT professionals deploy dedicated security solutions to safeguard sensitive data and prevent financial losses,” commented Georgy Kucherin, Security Researcher with Kaspersky’s Global Research and Analysis Team.

The threat actor behind the attack published not only malicious Solidity extensions but also another NPM package, solsafe, which also downloads ScreenConnect. A few months earlier, three additional malicious Visual Studio Code extensions were released — solaibot, among-eth, and blankebesxstnion — all of them have already been removed from the repository.


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NITDA Reaffirms Commitment to 95% Digital Literacy by 2030, as UBEC Pledges Collaboration

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DG NITDA, Kashifu Inuwa CCIE (left), receiving an award for an Ambassador of Basic Education from the ES UBEC, Hajia Aisha Garba (right)
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Kashifu Inuwa CCIE, the Director General of the National Information Technology Development Agency (NITDA), has reaffirmed the Federal Government’s unwavering commitment to achieving 95% digital literacy across Nigeria by the year 2030, with an ambitious milestone of 70% by 2027.

This disclosure was made in total alignment with the present administration’s priority areas of reforming the economy for sustained inclusive growth and accelerating diversification through industrialisation, digitisation, creative arts, manufacturing, and innovation.

Making this known during a collaborative meeting hosted by the Universal Basic Education Commission (UBEC), Inuwa highlighted the government’s strategic prioritisation of human capital development as central to its national transformation agenda.

“We started this journey in 2023 when President Bola Ahmed Tinubu came on board and he made it clear that economic diversification and inclusivity are part of the administration’s agenda,” he noted.

“And the president outlined this in 8 priority areas to achieve the vision, with priority number 7 specifically focused on accelerating industrialisation, digitisation, creative arts, manufacturing, and innovation,” he added.

Recognising the importance of digital fluency in achieving this agenda, he stated that NITDA is committed to investing in the digital empowerment of citizens through the development of the National Digital Literacy Framework (NDLF), a strategic blueprint aligned with international best practices.

He added that to tailor the framework to Nigeria’s specific needs, 6 core competency areas were incorporated to include device and software operations, information and data literacy, communication and collaboration, content creation, safety, and problem solving.

He explained that the framework would address all levels of digital fluency, from basic, intermediate to advanced levels, to make digital skills accessible to every Nigerian, from primary school pupils to working professionals.

According to Inuwa, despite data limitations, NITDA estimates that Nigeria’s digital literacy rate currently stands at 50%, up from 44% in 2021, based on extrapolations from the World Bank’s Better Life Report.

The NITDA DG disclosed that the agency has been working closely with the Nigerian Educational Research and Development Council (NERDC) in developing a curriculum for digital literacy, which can be infused into formal education. Stating that the visit is a continuation of NITDA’s ongoing engagements with key education stakeholders, including the Federal Ministry of Education, the National Universities Commission (NUC), and the Nigerian Educational Research and Development Council (NERDC), all aimed at advancing digital literacy across all levels of learning.

Inuwa also revealed ongoing collaborations with global platforms such as Coursera to train teachers using AI-powered lesson generation tools and provide scalable online training.

It is worth recalling that late last year, NITDA partnered with the Nasarawa State University in collaboration with CISCO in launching the Digital Learning for NSUK (DL4NSUK) initiative to enhance digital literacy in tertiary institutions, and equipping graduates with the skills needed to be digitally proficient and globally competitive.

While stressing that the entire process, from curriculum development to classroom delivery, would require a whole-of-government and whole-of-society approach, Inuwa said, “This is not a journey we can walk alone; we must bring everyone on board, education stakeholders, technology providers, state governments, and international partners.”

In response to the DG’s remarks, UBEC Executive Secretary, Hajiya Aisha Garba, confirmed that the Commission has officially received the digital literacy curriculum developed by NITDA and NERDC and has commenced internal review processes.

She acknowledged the curriculum as robust and forward-looking but stressed the need for simplification to suit early learners and teachers, citing challenges such as curriculum overload, limited teacher capacity, and inadequate infrastructure as key barriers to effective implementation.

She pledged that UBEC, in partnership with the State Universal Basic Education Board (SUBEB), will lead efforts to equip schools with computers and solar-powered infrastructure to support real learning.

“We’re committed to working with NITDA and NERDC to refine the curriculum, train teachers, and ensure effective delivery. Let us align the technical vision with grassroots realities to make a lasting impact,” she concluded.

To formalise the implementation of the meeting’s resolutions, a joint inter-agency committee was established to develop strategic plans that will ensure the effective rollout of the digital literacy initiative, to equip young Nigerians with the essential digital skills required to thrive in an increasingly dynamic and technology-driven global landscape.


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