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General News

Will Nigeria listen to IMF’s call to remove fuel subsidy?

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By Lukman Otunuga, FXTM Research Analyst,
The IMF has once again called on Nigeria to phase out government fuel subsidies, citing better use of the funds on social safety nets like healthcare, education and freeing up fiscal resources for infrastructural projects. Historically, fuel subsidies are an extremely sensitive issue which can have various impacts on economic growth and investor confidence. Following the IMF’s recent report, the finance ministry was quick to reject the idea of completely dropping the popular fuel rebate on the basis that the state imports all fuel and includes the subsidy as a cost of doing business.

The money factored into energy imports as a fuel subsidy for 2018 was at an eye-watering level of N713 billion, far higher than the budgets for education or healthcare, according to reports. The cost of the fuel subsidy fluctuates according to global Oil prices, meaning that inflation in the international Oil markets can spike the subsidies overnight, risking unexpected drains on public coffers. At the time of writing, Nigeria’s economy is improving and the IMF projects full-year GDP growth results of 2.1 percent in 2019 and 2.5 percent in 2020. When balanced out against the prospect of negatively impacting growth, one can understand the caution over abandoning fuel subsidies.

Let’s take a look at both sides of the coin. What if the finance ministry decides to listen to the IMF? In this scenario, it could reinvest the fuel subsidy into social support infrastructure and fiscal savings. These savings could be used to improve Oil refining resources and lessen Nigeria’s reliance on imported processed fuel, thereby boosting the local Oil industry’s domestic market instead of selling foreign fuel. This process would take a long time and risk the likelihood of instability if there is a backlash but in the long term it would increase Nigeria’s fuel independence. Having said that, inflation could rise along with fuel prices, negatively impacting economic growth and consumer spending on fuel. So, if subsidies were to be removed, it’s likely the policy change would be in phases to avoid unexpected economic shocks.

And what if the government decides against the IMF’s advice? The risk of outright instability could be lowered and the economy can stay on track to grow as expected, but the vulnerability of Oil price spikes remains a constant short-term threat amid a steadily climbing national debt. Nigeria’s gross national debt is seen rising to 31.4 percent in 2020, according to the IMF. That’s compared to 28.4 percent in 2018 and 30.1 percent in 2019. When total external debt is factored in, Nigeria faces a cash-flow dilemma that’s not easily solved. External debt, including private and public sector debt, is seen rising to $69.8 billion for the full-year 2019, from $63.4 billion in 2018, while foreign reserves stand at an estimated $38.5 billion. Increased risks to the financial and banking sectors can’t be ruled out if the state doesn’t improve its fiscal strength and readiness to rescue any systemic entities.

The good news is that the economy is back on track towards sustainable growth. If a policy solution to the fuel-subsidy predicament is found which increases fiscal strength while avoiding inflationary pressures, there could be long-term benefits to Nigeria’s economy.


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Ugo Onwuaso is an ICT enthusiast. He believes technology should be used for general good. He holds a Master of Public Administration (MPA) degree from the Lagos state University. Dear Reader, Your support matters. But we believe that technology makes life more exciting and helps improve the lives of people around Nigeria and indeed the world. That is why, we have devoted our energy to independent reportage of technology and finance and how they affect lives. Our incisive and analytical view of how technology news affects the daily life help individuals and organizations make up their minds. Quality journalism costs money. Today, we're asking that you support us to do more. Kindly support our effort to deliver technology and finance journalism to everyone in the world. Donate as little as N1,000. Bank transfers can be made to: UBA Plc 1017156876 Communication Week Media Ltd

General News

FG Halts Controversial FRC Dues amid Industry Outcry

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Federal government has temporarily suspended the controversial annual dues imposed on public interest enterprises by the Financial Reporting Council (FRC) after fierce opposition from businesses.

FG Halts Controversial FRC Dues amid Industry Outcry

Jumoke Oduwole, minister, Industry, Trade, and Investment, announced the decision during a Ministerial Consultative Meeting in Abuja on Wednesday.

The move follows mounting pressure from private sector groups, including the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA) and the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), who slammed the Financial Reporting Council (Amendment) Act 2023 for burdening companies with excessive fees.

The Act mandates cumulative annual charges for non-listed entities and imposes a harsh 10% monthly penalty on unpaid dues, compounding until full payment, a provision that sparked widespread backlash.

At the meeting, major industry players like NECA, MAN, the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce (NACCIMA), oil producers, and telecom operators warned that the fees would cripple businesses already struggling in a tough economy.

Oduwole clarified the suspension, stating, “The government has decided to direct the Financial Reporting Council to pause in the implementation of the new annual dues. You know that I am a lawyer, and a suspension request by the organised private sector would be in contravention of legislation duly passed by the National Assembly. A pause is an administrative process simply to review, in line with what we discussed today.”

She assured stakeholders that the halt would last no longer than 60 days, with a technical working group—including FRC officials and private sector representatives—set up to reassess the policy.

“We are a listening administration. The private sector has requested a range from three months to an indefinite suspension. We are not going to do that. So, at the most, 60 days is in my estimate. We are going to set up a technical working group comprised of the FRC and the organised private sector who have formally written in, and this will be reviewed,” Oduwole emphasized.


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General News

SON Pledges to Standardize Made-in-Aba Products

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The Standards Organisation of Nigeria (SON) says it is intensifying efforts to standardise locally manufactured products, including Made-in-Aba brands, in order to enhance both local and international acceptance.

Aharanwa Chuks, Director of Region (South East), SON, communicated this in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) on Wednesday in Abuja.

Chuks said through the Mandatory Conformity Assessment Programme (MANCAP), SON ensured that all Nigerian-made products conformed to the relevant Nigerian Industrial Standards (NIS).

According to him, MANCAP involves direct engagement with manufacturers to certify that their products meet established quality benchmarks.

“This process includes inspecting production facilities, sampling products and testing them against NIS requirements.

“Successful compliance results in the issuance of the MANCAP certification, signifying adherence to quality standards.

“In Aba, SON has been proactive in educating manufacturers about standardization.’’

The director said SON also conducted stakeholder interactions; gathering manufacturers from various sectors to provide guidance on producing goods that met both local and international standards.

“For instance, leather manufacturers in Aba have been sensitized on standardization practices to enhance the global competitiveness of their products.

“Manufacturers are encouraged to collaborate with SON to obtain MANCAP certification, ensuring their products are not only marketable within Nigeria but also competitive internationally.

“This initiative aims to boost consumer confidence and promote the acceptance of Made-in-Aba products globally,” Chuks said.

 


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EFCC Arrests 133 @ Ponzi Scheme Training Academy

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Operatives of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), has busted a Ponzi Scheme Academy and arrested 133 suspects in Abuja.

EFCC Arrests 133 @ Ponzi Scheme Training Academy

They were arrested at the Compensation Layout in Gwagwalada area of the Federal Capital Territory, FCT, Abuja, following actionable intelligence on the existence of the Academy.

The Academy, named Q University (a.k.a Q-Net) is in the business of recruiting gullible young Nigerians who are trained to recruit more gullible citizens into the scheme with the promise of getting unrealistic profit returns.

The suspects are enrolled into a training codenamed: “Special Training for New Generation Billionaire” and brainwashed to believe that they would graduate into the league of billionaires.

They got into the training by obtaining a form the promoters called “Independent Representative Application Form” with promotional slogans such as: “I’m a Champion” “I’m Unstoppable”, “I’m Infinity”, among others.

The EFCC carried out the operation in collaboration with officers and men of 176 Guards Battalion, Nigerian Army.

Items recovered from the suspects include phones, computers and other electronic gadgets.

They will be charged to court as soon as investigations are concluded.


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