General News
Nigeria elections under the spotlight; high-level US-China trade talks in focus
By Lukman Otunuga, FXTM Research Analyst
Tomorrow will be a monumental day for the Nigerian economy, as the presidential elections get under way. Although there was initially a sense of uncertainty after the elections were abruptly postponed last week, this feeling could be washed away by a market-friendly outcome. It will be interesting to see where the Nigerian stock market and Naira trade on Monday.
Global sentiment and risk appetite will be heavily influenced by the outcome of high-level trade talks between the United States and China that began in Washington yesterday.
While there is a growing sense of optimism over both sides securing a deal, a more realistic outcome will be for an agreement to extend the 1 March deadline. Such a development will open the doors to further negotiations down the road – ultimately removing some element of uncertainty over trade, while also reducing tensions. A return of risk appetite amid easing tensions will certainly be good news for global equities and emerging markets but will signal bad luck for King Dollar.
It has not been the best of trading weeks for the Dollar, especially after minutes from January’s FOMC meeting revealed that policymakers were unsure if rate hikes were needed this year. The Dollar is clearly facing multiple headwinds in the form of disappointing economic data and speculation over the Fed taking a long pause on rate hikes this year. While the economic and central bank divergence between the United States and everyone else seems to be supporting the Dollar, the question is – for how long? The Dollar may lose its throne, as fears over US growth slowing down sends investors to other safe-havens like the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc.
In the United Kingdom, the Brexit saga has dragged on for too long and this fatigue is slowly being reflected in the Pound’s valuation. This was a week filled by Brexit noise, political drama in the UK and endless uncertainty. The pessimism over Theresa May securing any deal with the EU was re-confirmed this morning, after an EU official stated that “there will be no deal in the desert” at the summit in Egypt next week. I believe the Pound could still be offered a lifeline amid the chaos if the government extends Article 50 in an effort to prevent a no deal outcome. Taking a look at the technical picture, bears are seen to be re-entering the scene if a weekly close below the psychological 1.3000 level is achieved.
Taking a peek into the commodity markets, Gold is set to cap two consecutive weeks of gains after briefly reaching its highest level since April 2018 earlier this week. With US President Donald Trump set to meet China’s top trade negotiator, Vice Premier Liu He, later today, investors are left hanging on the edge of their seats just one week before the 1 March deadline. Any positive headlines of a trade deal being struck between the world’s two largest economies may put downward pressure on bullion prices. On the other hand, concerns about global growth momentum may offer support for Gold. Recently, weaker-than-expected economic data out of the US is starting to pose questions about the resilience of the world’s largest economy, especially when set against the slowdown evident in the EU and China.
In regards to the technical perspective, the precious metal seems to be in the process of creating a new higher low. The bullish trend on the daily charts remains valid above the $1303 support level.
Federal government has temporarily suspended the controversial annual dues imposed on public interest enterprises by the Financial Reporting Council (FRC) after fierce opposition from businesses.
Jumoke Oduwole, minister, Industry, Trade, and Investment, announced the decision during a Ministerial Consultative Meeting in Abuja on Wednesday.
The move follows mounting pressure from private sector groups, including the Nigeria Employers’ Consultative Association (NECA) and the Manufacturers Association of Nigeria (MAN), who slammed the Financial Reporting Council (Amendment) Act 2023 for burdening companies with excessive fees.
The Act mandates cumulative annual charges for non-listed entities and imposes a harsh 10% monthly penalty on unpaid dues, compounding until full payment, a provision that sparked widespread backlash.
At the meeting, major industry players like NECA, MAN, the Nigerian Association of Chambers of Commerce (NACCIMA), oil producers, and telecom operators warned that the fees would cripple businesses already struggling in a tough economy.
Oduwole clarified the suspension, stating, “The government has decided to direct the Financial Reporting Council to pause in the implementation of the new annual dues. You know that I am a lawyer, and a suspension request by the organised private sector would be in contravention of legislation duly passed by the National Assembly. A pause is an administrative process simply to review, in line with what we discussed today.”
She assured stakeholders that the halt would last no longer than 60 days, with a technical working group—including FRC officials and private sector representatives—set up to reassess the policy.
“We are a listening administration. The private sector has requested a range from three months to an indefinite suspension. We are not going to do that. So, at the most, 60 days is in my estimate. We are going to set up a technical working group comprised of the FRC and the organised private sector who have formally written in, and this will be reviewed,” Oduwole emphasized.
The Standards Organisation of Nigeria (SON) says it is intensifying efforts to standardise locally manufactured products, including Made-in-Aba brands, in order to enhance both local and international acceptance.
Aharanwa Chuks, Director of Region (South East), SON, communicated this in an interview with the News Agency of Nigeria (NAN) on Wednesday in Abuja.
Chuks said through the Mandatory Conformity Assessment Programme (MANCAP), SON ensured that all Nigerian-made products conformed to the relevant Nigerian Industrial Standards (NIS).
According to him, MANCAP involves direct engagement with manufacturers to certify that their products meet established quality benchmarks.
“This process includes inspecting production facilities, sampling products and testing them against NIS requirements.
“Successful compliance results in the issuance of the MANCAP certification, signifying adherence to quality standards.
“In Aba, SON has been proactive in educating manufacturers about standardization.’’
The director said SON also conducted stakeholder interactions; gathering manufacturers from various sectors to provide guidance on producing goods that met both local and international standards.
“For instance, leather manufacturers in Aba have been sensitized on standardization practices to enhance the global competitiveness of their products.
“Manufacturers are encouraged to collaborate with SON to obtain MANCAP certification, ensuring their products are not only marketable within Nigeria but also competitive internationally.
“This initiative aims to boost consumer confidence and promote the acceptance of Made-in-Aba products globally,” Chuks said.
Operatives of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC), has busted a Ponzi Scheme Academy and arrested 133 suspects in Abuja.
They were arrested at the Compensation Layout in Gwagwalada area of the Federal Capital Territory, FCT, Abuja, following actionable intelligence on the existence of the Academy.
The Academy, named Q University (a.k.a Q-Net) is in the business of recruiting gullible young Nigerians who are trained to recruit more gullible citizens into the scheme with the promise of getting unrealistic profit returns.
The suspects are enrolled into a training codenamed: “Special Training for New Generation Billionaire” and brainwashed to believe that they would graduate into the league of billionaires.
They got into the training by obtaining a form the promoters called “Independent Representative Application Form” with promotional slogans such as: “I’m a Champion” “I’m Unstoppable”, “I’m Infinity”, among others.
The EFCC carried out the operation in collaboration with officers and men of 176 Guards Battalion, Nigerian Army.
Items recovered from the suspects include phones, computers and other electronic gadgets.
They will be charged to court as soon as investigations are concluded.
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