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Nigerian Telecom Market to Hit $11.43Bn by 2029

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Mordor Intelligence, market intelligence firm, has projected that the Nigerian telecom market value would reach $11.43 by 2029.

Nigerian Telecom Market to Hit $11.43Bn by 2029

In a report the firm, revealed that the market is expected to grow at a cumulative average growth rate (CAGR) of 4.70 per cent between 2024 and 2029.

Though the government’s various initiatives to improve the nation’s internet infrastructure and broadband connection have significantly transformed the Nigerian telecom market in recent years, Morodor noted that, various innovations by major telecom market vendors, growth in 5G deployments nationwide, and an increase in data consumption by individuals and businesses will drive the projected market value.

The analysis highlighted further elements driving the nation’s telecom sector’s expansion, adding that, “Increased smartphone adoption in Nigeria has fueled the development of a dynamic digital services sector. Currently, millions of Nigerians use mobile apps, including social networking sites, e-commerce, and financial services. These apps could leverage smartphones’ capabilities to offer speed, convenience, and efficiency, encouraging more people to invest in smartphones.

“In addition to these expansions and collaborations, the growing adoption of digital technologies and government support in aiding the same alongside the 5G technology implementation across the country is analysed to boost the demand for telecom towers significantly.”

According to Morodor, the rise in e-commerce and digital service platforms in Nigeria has also increased demand for dependable telecom services, adding that as more people turn to online platforms for payments, shopping, and other services, a robust telecom infrastructure is becoming increasingly necessary.

The report also said the Nigerian government’s announcement of the National Digital Economy Policy and Strategy (NDEPS 2020–2030) would increase demand for mobile telecom services in Nigeria since they can be used to offer end customers low-cost telecom services.

The report further observed that the launch of the National Digital Economy Policy and Strategy (NDEPS 2020-2030) by the Nigerian government would fuel the demand for mobile telecom services in Nigeria due to its application in providing low-cost telecom services to the end users.

“Additionally, in October 2022, The Nigerian Communication Commission stated that the country’s broadband subscriptions majorly depend on 3G and 4G networks contributing 44.5 per cent of the total broadband subscriptions in Nigeria, and the regulator has planned an objective to increase it to 70 per cent by 2025.

“Therefore, the demand for data and voice services in the consumer segments, the increase in the number of smartphones, and the country’s national digital economy policy are driving the adoption of mobile services in Nigeria, supported by the vendors’ partnerships and expansion to offer 4G and 5G based mobile telecom services in Nigeria during the forecast period,” it added.

 

 

 


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Navigating the Path to Sustainable Telecom Services for Subscribers

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By Dinesh Balshingh

As Nigeria continues its journey towards becoming a digitally driven economy, reliable telecommunications services remain the backbone of our collective progress. At Airtel Nigeria, we are committed to delivering world-class connectivity to millions of Nigerians, enabling economic growth, empowering businesses, and enhancing lives.

We understand that the future technology needs of the country, as ushered in by the highspeed 5G era of AI, Cloud computing, Data science applications, and Blockchain, should be directing significant investments towards building a resilient network. However, the industry faces significant challenges that require a closer look as we strive to maintain the high standards that our customers deserve.

Increased Intensity of Investments: The increasing demand for digital services across sectors such as education, media, banking, transportation, and manufacturing has come with an increased demand on telecom capacity.

Upgrading networks to deliver more data capacity is key to a sustainable future. To help ensure that the Nigerian economy keeps pace with the global improvements in technology and communications while supporting the aspirations of consumers, we also take on the responsibility of executing new technology and system upgrades as well as improved security. Data security is now more than ever a priority as more and more people upload personal information online.

All of these require significant investments which are sourced from the international markets at costs denominated in US Dollars. In the past three to four years, for instance, the dollar has gone from exchanging for about N500 to over N1,600.

This more than three-fold increase in foreign exchange conversion exponentially increases the cost of investments required to run a good quality network.

In addition to this unprecedented hike in capital expenditure, the operating costs have surged dramatically, with operating expenses rising by over 300% in the last 18 to 24 months alone.

While several critical areas of the business are impacted, I would, for expediency, focus on three of those areas: Rising Energy Cost, Infrastructure Challenges, and a Commitment to Quality Service.

Rising Energy Costs: Powering telecommunication infrastructure requires significant energy resources. Energy is the single largest operating cost for running a network. With increasing global energy prices and while efforts are ongoing to fully stabilize power supply in Nigeria, Airtel Nigeria and other operators in the sector are incurring soaring costs to keep networks running seamlessly.

Infrastructure Challenges: The industry continues to grapple with rampant fiber cuts and vandalization of critical infrastructure. These incidents not only disrupt services but also demand substantial investments to repair and maintain facilities.

Commitment to Quality Service: Despite these challenges, Airtel Nigeria has remained steadfast in ensuring quality of service. From expanding 4G and 5G networks to meeting growing demand in urban and rural areas, we have painstakingly absorbed the rising costs of these obligations to avoid compromising the customer experience and ensuring Nigerians, regardless of their location, have access to mobile communication and remain connected to the digital economy.

Telecommunications operators have worked tirelessly to sustain services despite keeping tariffs unchanged for the last 10 years. While tariffs have remained static for over a decade, the economic realities necessitate a review to ensure the sustainability of services hence our recent application to the government for tariff adjustment which if approved will be a step towards addressing this imbalance.

It is not a decision taken lightly but one borne out of the need to guarantee continued investment in network expansion, technology upgrades, and improved service delivery.

The telecommunications sector is pivotal to Nigeria’s ambition to become a digital economy leader in Africa. Meeting this aspiration requires operators to make substantial investments in network infrastructure, spectrum acquisition, and innovative solutions. These investments come at a cost, one that must be shared proportionally to ensure long-term viability.

At Airtel Nigeria, we remain resolute in our commitment to:

Delivering Quality Services: As the government continues to monitor operators’ compliance with service quality standards. Airtel is dedicated to surpassing these benchmarks, ensuring customers experience uninterrupted and superior connectivity.

Driving Economic Growth: By expanding our network and enhancing digital inclusivity, we are enabling the government’s economy turnaround agenda and fostering opportunities for all Nigerians.

Being a Reliable Partner: Despite industry challenges, we are steadfast in our role as a trusted partner in Nigeria’s digital transformation journey.

While significant tariff adjustments have become warranted for the sustainability of the industry, Airtel has always been sensitive to affordability and understand that the price adjustments must be done gradually to support our customers’ financial positions.

“We believe that an approval of revised tariffs will empower operators to invest in capacity, expand coverage to underserved areas, aim for advanced security on the networks, and improve service quality and network availability while ensuring that Nigeria remains competitive in the global digital landscape.

As we navigate the present imperatives together, we urge all stakeholders, including customers, regulators, and partners to recognize the importance of building a resilient telecommunications ecosystem. Airtel Nigeria remains committed to delivering unmatched value while supporting the nation’s economic development.

Dinesh Balsingh is the Managing Director/CEO of Airtel Nigeria.

 


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Data breaches: Commission warns banks, hospitals, others against infractions

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Nigeria Data Protection Commission (NDPC) has issued a strong warning to institutions and organizations found mishandling citizens’ data, promising to impose maximum penalties on violators as part of an effort to strengthen enforcement in 2025.

National Commissioner and Chief Executive Officer, Dr. Vincent Olatunji, emphasized the importance of safeguarding data integrity and assured that the Commission will enhance its enforcement mechanisms to hold accountable sectors such as banking, healthcare, education, insurance, telecommunications, and government agencies.

In a statement released by the Commission’s Media Department, Dr. Olatunji urged data controllers and processors to prioritize data security, warning that the NDPC’s tolerance for breaches will be minimal.

He stressed that while the Commission had previously refrained from issuing fines, there would be significant penalties moving forward for those failing to comply with data protection regulations.

The NDPC’s increased focus on enforcement aims to protect the data rights of Nigerians as guaranteed by the Nigeria Data Protection Act (NDPA).

Dr. Olatunji highlighted the Commission’s ongoing engagements with public and private stakeholders to foster awareness and compliance, underscoring that these efforts have led to the signing of Memorandums of Understanding (MOUs) with key organizations such as the National Insurance Commission (NAICOM), the National Lottery Regulatory Commission (NLRC), the Data Privacy Office of Canada, and the Dubai International Financial Centre Authority (DIFC).


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Subscriber Group Rejects Telcos Push for Tariff Hike

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National Association of Telecoms Subscribers (NATCOMS), a telecoms subscriber body, has warned Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC) not accede to demands by telecommunications companies in the country to hike tariff, insisting that such increase would unleash further hardships on its members.

Subscriber Group Rejects Telcos Push for Tariff Hike

Chief Deolu Ogunbanjo, president, NATCOMS said in statement that the group in a recent emergency meeting over the planned tariff hike of telecommunication services, unanimously voted against any tariff hike.

Ogunbanjo, said telecoms services are taxable services under the Value Added Tax Act.

The Act was amended in 2019 by the Finance Act of that year to raise the tax rate from five per cent to 7.5per cent which was 50per cent increment and the increment has been borne by the consumers of rateable telecom services.

“That increment brought about untold hardship to our members many of who have been forced to cut back on their telecom requirements.

“As if that was not bad enough, the Federal Government got the National Assembly to enact the Finance Act of 2020. Section 37 of the Act amended Section 21 of the Customs, Excise Tariff etc. (Consolidation) Act by imposing an excise duty charge on Telecommunication Services. The then president, President Muhammadu Buhari by an order prescribed five per cent as the rate of the excise duty charge, chargeable for telecommunication services. The additional tax burden was greeted with public outcry and this association, at the prompting of our members, challenged the excise duty charge in court, in the case of Registered Trustees of National Association of Telecommunications Subscribers (NATCOMS) V MTN Nigeria Communications Limited and Others – Suit No: FHC/L/ CS / 189) 2023 on the ground of double taxation which is illegal and unconstitutional.

NCC and other Federal Bodies are parties to the suit and the Federal Government as represented by the Federal Inland Revenue Service (FIRS) entered an appearance and filed processes opposing the suit. The case is now pending before Hon.  Justice Aluko, sitting at the Lagos Division of the Federal High Court, and the case is slated to come up in the court on the 13th March, 2025,” Ogunbanjo said.

 


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